Language:English
Magda Linette v Iga Swiatek
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Magda Linette (Local)
Prediction 6.73%14.86fair odd
EV +95.16%
Edge +3.28%
Kelly +3.40%
Growth +3.23%
assuming max odds 29.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.40%6.62%6.80%8.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.5014.3813.0029.009.52%6.95%7.69%3.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Iga Swiatek (Visit)
Prediction 93.27%1.07fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -1.97%
Kelly -41.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
91.15%93.38%93.20%96.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.021.021.05100.00%97.96%98.04%95.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Magda Linette (Local): 6.73%; Iga Swiatek (Visit): 93.27%. For Magda Linette (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 14.86. 19 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 29.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +95.16%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.40%EV +95.16%E +3.28%K +3.40%G +3.23% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.60%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-05-29 10:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +41.32%E +1.97%K +2.07%G +0.854% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.73%E -6.73%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-29 10:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +41.32%E +1.97%K +2.07%G +0.854% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.73%E -6.73%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-29 10:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 20.60I 4.85%NM 4.72%EV +38.63%E +1.88%K +1.97%G +0.761% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.28%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-29 10:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +34.59%E +1.73%K +1.82%G +0.630% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-29 10:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +34.59%E +1.73%K +1.82%G +0.630% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-29 10:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +27.86%E +1.47%K +1.55%G +0.431% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-29 10:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +27.86%E +1.47%K +1.55%G +0.431% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-29 09:57 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +21.13%E +1.17%K +1.24%G +0.263% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-29 10:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 17.95I 5.57%NM 5.38%EV +20.80%E +1.16%K +1.23%G +0.255% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.62%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-29 10:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +14.41%E +0.847%K +0.900%G +0.130% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-29 10:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +14.41%E +0.847%K +0.900%G +0.130% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 10:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +14.41%E +0.847%K +0.900%G +0.130% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-29 10:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +14.41%E +0.847%K +0.900%G +0.130% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-29 10:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +0.946%E +0.063%K +0.068%G +0.001% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-29 10:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +0.946%E +0.063%K +0.068%G +0.001% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 10:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +0.946%E +0.063%K +0.068%G +0.001% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 10:08 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +0.946%E +0.063%K +0.068%G +0.001% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-29 09:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +0.946%E +0.063%K +0.068%G +0.001% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-29 10:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.57%EV -2.42%E -0.167%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.43%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-29 10:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 14.26I 7.01%NM 6.80%EV -4.03%E -0.283%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.20%EV -3.00%E -2.88%K -74.97%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-29 10:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -5.78%E -0.413%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-29 09:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -5.78%E -0.413%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-29 10:08 |
| Casumo🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -5.78%E -0.413%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-29 10:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -5.78%E -0.413%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-29 10:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -5.78%E -0.413%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 10:01 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.02%EV -9.15%E -0.678%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.98%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-29 10:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -9.15%E -0.678%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-29 10:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 13.40I 7.46%NM 7.14%EV -9.82%E -0.733%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.86%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 10:07 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-29 10:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-29 10:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-29 10:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-29 10:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-29 10:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-29 10:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-29 10:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-29 10:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-29 10:08 |
| TAB🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-29 10:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 12.65I 7.91%NM 7.46%EV -14.87%E -1.18%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.54%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 09:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -15.88%E -1.27%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 10:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -15.88%E -1.27%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 10:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -15.88%E -1.27%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 10:08 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -19.24%E -1.60%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-29 10:03 |
| Neds🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -19.24%E -1.60%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-29 10:03 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -19.24%E -1.60%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-29 10:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -19.24%E -1.60%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-29 10:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -19.24%E -1.60%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-29 10:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -19.24%E -1.60%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-29 10:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -22.61%E -1.97%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -2.07%E -1.97%K -41.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 10:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -22.61%E -1.97%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -2.07%E -1.97%K -41.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 10:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -22.61%E -1.97%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-29 10:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -22.61%E -1.97%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-29 10:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -22.61%E -1.97%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-29 10:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -25.97%E -2.36%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -2.07%E -1.97%K -41.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-29 10:08 |
| Everygame🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -25.97%E -2.36%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 09:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -25.97%E -2.36%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-29 10:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -25.97%E -2.36%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-29 10:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -25.97%E -2.36%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-29 10:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -29.34%E -2.79%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-29 10:08 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.66% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 93.34% | 0.1% | 2026-05-29 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60% | 0.8% | 2026-05-29 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 1.0% | 2026-05-29 10:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06% | 1.2% | 2026-05-29 10:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 14.99I 6.67%NM 6.49% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.51% | 2.8% | 2026-05-29 10:09 |
| Novig◎ | 16.95I 5.90%NM 5.57% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 94.43% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 10:10 |