StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Magda Linette v Iga Swiatek

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-29 10:13 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

60 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Magda Linette (Heim)

Prognose 6.73%14.86faire Quote
EV +95.16%
Vorteil +3.28%
Kelly +3.40%
Wachstum +3.23%

bei einer Höchstquote von 29.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
3.40%6.62%6.80%8.85%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
10.5014.3813.0029.009.52%6.95%7.69%3.45%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Iga Swiatek (Auswärts)

Prognose 93.27%1.07faire Quote
EV -2.07%
Vorteil -1.97%
Kelly -41.32%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.05

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
91.15%93.38%93.20%96.60%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.001.021.021.05100.00%97.96%98.04%95.24%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Magda Linette (Heim): 6.73%; Iga Swiatek (Auswärts): 93.27%. Für Magda Linette (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 14.86. 19 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 29.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +95.16%.

Wettanbieterquoten (60 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
William Hill🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.40%EV +95.16%E +3.28%K +3.40%G +3.23%1.02I 98.04%NM 96.60%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%1.5%2026-05-29 10:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +41.32%E +1.97%K +2.07%G +0.854%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.73%E -6.73%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 10:09
888sport🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +41.32%E +1.97%K +2.07%G +0.854%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.73%E -6.73%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 10:09
DraftKings🎯20.60I 4.85%NM 4.72%EV +38.63%E +1.88%K +1.97%G +0.761%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.28%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-29 10:09
Betclic (FR)🎯20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +34.59%E +1.73%K +1.82%G +0.630%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-29 10:05
Winamax (FR)🎯20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +34.59%E +1.73%K +1.82%G +0.630%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 10:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +27.86%E +1.47%K +1.55%G +0.431%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 10:09
SportsBet🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +27.86%E +1.47%K +1.55%G +0.431%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 09:57
theScore Bet🎯18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +21.13%E +1.17%K +1.24%G +0.263%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-29 10:09
BetAnything🎯17.95I 5.57%NM 5.38%EV +20.80%E +1.16%K +1.23%G +0.255%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.62%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-29 10:04
BoyleSports🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +14.41%E +0.847%K +0.900%G +0.130%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-29 10:10
Coral🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +14.41%E +0.847%K +0.900%G +0.130%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 10:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +14.41%E +0.847%K +0.900%G +0.130%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 10:09
888sport (SE)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +14.41%E +0.847%K +0.900%G +0.130%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 10:09
Codere (IT)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +0.946%E +0.063%K +0.068%G +0.001%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-29 10:00
Winamax (DE)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +0.946%E +0.063%K +0.068%G +0.001%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 10:09
Bovada🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +0.946%E +0.063%K +0.068%G +0.001%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 10:08
Marathon Bet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +0.946%E +0.063%K +0.068%G +0.001%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 09:59
Fanatics🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +0.946%E +0.063%K +0.068%G +0.001%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 10:09
MyBookie.ag🎯14.50I 6.90%NM 6.57%EV -2.42%E -0.167%K -0.179%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.43%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 10:10
Pinnacle🎯14.26I 7.01%NM 6.80%EV -4.03%E -0.283%K -0.304%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.20%EV -3.00%E -2.88%K -74.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-29 10:10
Unibet (FR)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -5.78%E -0.413%K -0.445%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-29 09:59
Bet Right🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -5.78%E -0.413%K -0.445%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 10:08
Casumo🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -5.78%E -0.413%K -0.445%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 10:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -5.78%E -0.413%K -0.445%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 10:09
NetBet (FR)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -5.78%E -0.413%K -0.445%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 10:01
Coolbet🎯13.50I 7.41%NM 7.02%EV -9.15%E -0.678%K -0.732%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.98%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 10:09
Betsson🎯13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -9.15%E -0.678%K -0.732%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 10:09
1xBet🎯13.40I 7.46%NM 7.14%EV -9.82%E -0.733%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.86%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 10:07
Unibet (SE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 10:09
Unibet (NL)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 10:09
Unibet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 10:10
Svenska Spel🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 10:10
ATG (SE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 10:09
betPARX🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 10:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 10:09
FanDuel🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 10:09
Caesars🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 10:08
TAB🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 10:10
GTbets🎯12.65I 7.91%NM 7.46%EV -14.87%E -1.18%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.54%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 09:59
TABtouch🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -15.88%E -1.27%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 10:09
NordicBet🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -15.88%E -1.27%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 10:09
BetMGM🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -15.88%E -1.27%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 10:08
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -19.24%E -1.60%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 10:03
Neds🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -19.24%E -1.60%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 10:03
Paddy Power🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -19.24%E -1.60%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 10:09
Betway🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -19.24%E -1.60%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 10:10
Virgin Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -19.24%E -1.60%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 10:09
Grosvenor🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -19.24%E -1.60%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 10:09
BetOnline.ag🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -22.61%E -1.97%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -2.07%E -1.97%K -41.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 10:10
LowVig.ag🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -22.61%E -1.97%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -2.07%E -1.97%K -41.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 10:09
LiveScore Bet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -22.61%E -1.97%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 10:10
Bally Bet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -22.61%E -1.97%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 10:09
LeoVegas🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -22.61%E -1.97%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-29 10:09
PlayUp🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -25.97%E -2.36%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -2.07%E -1.97%K -41.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 10:08
Everygame🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -25.97%E -2.36%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 09:59
Bet Victor🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -25.97%E -2.36%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 10:09
Tipico (DE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -25.97%E -2.36%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 10:09
Betr (AU)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -25.97%E -2.36%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 10:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -29.34%E -2.79%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 10:08
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.66%1.07I 93.46%NM 93.34%0.1%2026-05-29 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60%0.8%2026-05-29 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%1.0%2026-05-29 10:10
Matchbook20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%1.2%2026-05-29 10:09
Smarkets14.99I 6.67%NM 6.49%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.51%2.8%2026-05-29 10:09
Novig16.95I 5.90%NM 5.57%1.00I 100.00%NM 94.43%5.9%2026-05-29 10:10