L’École des cotes

Magda Linette v Iga Swiatek

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-29 10:13 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Magda Linette (Local)

Prévision 6.73%14.86cote équitable
EV +95.16%
Avantage +3.28%
Kelly +3.40%
Croissance +3.23%

avec la cote maximale 29.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
3.40%6.62%6.80%8.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
10.5014.3813.0029.009.52%6.95%7.69%3.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Iga Swiatek (Visiteur)

Prévision 93.27%1.07cote équitable
EV -2.07%
Avantage -1.97%
Kelly -41.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
91.15%93.38%93.20%96.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.001.021.021.05100.00%97.96%98.04%95.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
William Hill29.00I 3.45%NM 3.40%EV +95.16%E +3.28%K +3.40%G +3.23%1.02I 98.04%NM 96.60%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%1.5%2026-05-29 10:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +41.32%E +1.97%K +2.07%G +0.854%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.73%E -6.73%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 10:09
888sport21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +41.32%E +1.97%K +2.07%G +0.854%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.73%E -6.73%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 10:09
DraftKings20.60I 4.85%NM 4.72%EV +38.63%E +1.88%K +1.97%G +0.761%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.28%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-29 10:09
Betclic (FR)20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +34.59%E +1.73%K +1.82%G +0.630%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-29 10:05
Winamax (FR)20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +34.59%E +1.73%K +1.82%G +0.630%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 10:09
Ladbrokes (UK)19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +27.86%E +1.47%K +1.55%G +0.431%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 10:09
SportsBet19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +27.86%E +1.47%K +1.55%G +0.431%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 09:57
theScore Bet18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +21.13%E +1.17%K +1.24%G +0.263%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-29 10:09
BetAnything17.95I 5.57%NM 5.38%EV +20.80%E +1.16%K +1.23%G +0.255%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.62%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-29 10:04
BoyleSports17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +14.41%E +0.847%K +0.900%G +0.130%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-29 10:10
Coral17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +14.41%E +0.847%K +0.900%G +0.130%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 10:09
Mr Green (SE)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +14.41%E +0.847%K +0.900%G +0.130%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 10:09
888sport (SE)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +14.41%E +0.847%K +0.900%G +0.130%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 10:09
Codere (IT)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +0.946%E +0.063%K +0.068%G +0.001%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-29 10:00
Winamax (DE)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +0.946%E +0.063%K +0.068%G +0.001%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 10:09
Bovada15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +0.946%E +0.063%K +0.068%G +0.001%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 10:08
Marathon Bet15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +0.946%E +0.063%K +0.068%G +0.001%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 09:59
Fanatics15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +0.946%E +0.063%K +0.068%G +0.001%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 10:09
MyBookie.ag14.50I 6.90%NM 6.57%EV -2.42%E -0.167%K -0.179%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.43%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 10:10
Pinnacle14.26I 7.01%NM 6.80%EV -4.03%E -0.283%K -0.304%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.20%EV -3.00%E -2.88%K -74.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-29 10:10
Unibet (FR)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -5.78%E -0.413%K -0.445%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-29 09:59
Bet Right14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -5.78%E -0.413%K -0.445%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 10:08
Casumo14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -5.78%E -0.413%K -0.445%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 10:09
Hard Rock Bet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -5.78%E -0.413%K -0.445%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 10:09
NetBet (FR)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -5.78%E -0.413%K -0.445%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 10:01
Coolbet13.50I 7.41%NM 7.02%EV -9.15%E -0.678%K -0.732%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.98%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 10:09
Betsson13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -9.15%E -0.678%K -0.732%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 10:09
1xBet13.40I 7.46%NM 7.14%EV -9.82%E -0.733%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.86%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 10:07
Unibet (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 10:09
Unibet (NL)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 10:09
Unibet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 10:10
Svenska Spel13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 10:10
ATG (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 10:09
betPARX13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 10:10
PointsBet (AU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 10:09
FanDuel13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 10:09
Caesars13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 10:08
TAB13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 10:10
GTbets12.65I 7.91%NM 7.46%EV -14.87%E -1.18%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.54%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 09:59
TABtouch12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -15.88%E -1.27%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 10:09
NordicBet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -15.88%E -1.27%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 10:09
BetMGM12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -15.88%E -1.27%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 10:08
Ladbrokes (AU)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -19.24%E -1.60%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 10:03
Neds12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -19.24%E -1.60%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 10:03
Paddy Power12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -19.24%E -1.60%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 10:09
Betway12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -19.24%E -1.60%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 10:10
Virgin Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -19.24%E -1.60%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 10:09
Grosvenor12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -19.24%E -1.60%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 10:09
BetOnline.ag11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -22.61%E -1.97%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -2.07%E -1.97%K -41.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 10:10
LowVig.ag11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -22.61%E -1.97%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -2.07%E -1.97%K -41.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 10:09
LiveScore Bet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -22.61%E -1.97%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 10:10
Bally Bet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -22.61%E -1.97%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 10:09
LeoVegas11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -22.61%E -1.97%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-29 10:09
PlayUp11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -25.97%E -2.36%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -2.07%E -1.97%K -41.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 10:08
Everygame11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -25.97%E -2.36%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 09:59
Bet Victor11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -25.97%E -2.36%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 10:09
Tipico (DE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -25.97%E -2.36%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 10:09
Betr (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -25.97%E -2.36%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 10:09
LeoVegas (SE)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -29.34%E -2.79%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 10:08
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.66%1.07I 93.46%NM 93.34%0.1%2026-05-29 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60%0.8%2026-05-29 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%1.0%2026-05-29 10:10
Matchbook20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%1.2%2026-05-29 10:09
Smarkets14.99I 6.67%NM 6.49%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.51%2.8%2026-05-29 10:09
Novig16.95I 5.90%NM 5.57%1.00I 100.00%NM 94.43%5.9%2026-05-29 10:10