Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Magda Linette v Iga Swiatek

Início: 2026-05-29 10:13 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Magda Linette (Local)

Previsão 6.73%14.86odd justa
EV +95.16%
Vantagem +3.28%
Kelly +3.40%
Crescimento +3.23%

pressupondo odds máximas de 29.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
3.40%6.62%6.80%8.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
10.5014.3813.0029.009.52%6.95%7.69%3.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Iga Swiatek (Visitante)

Previsão 93.27%1.07odd justa
EV -2.07%
Vantagem -1.97%
Kelly -41.32%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
91.15%93.38%93.20%96.60%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.001.021.021.05100.00%97.96%98.04%95.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Magda Linette (Local): 6.73%; Iga Swiatek (Visitante): 93.27%. Para Magda Linette (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 14.86. 19 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 29.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +95.16%.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
William Hill🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.40%EV +95.16%E +3.28%K +3.40%G +3.23%1.02I 98.04%NM 96.60%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%1.5%2026-05-29 10:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +41.32%E +1.97%K +2.07%G +0.854%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.73%E -6.73%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 10:09
888sport🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +41.32%E +1.97%K +2.07%G +0.854%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.73%E -6.73%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 10:09
DraftKings🎯20.60I 4.85%NM 4.72%EV +38.63%E +1.88%K +1.97%G +0.761%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.28%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-29 10:09
Betclic (FR)🎯20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +34.59%E +1.73%K +1.82%G +0.630%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-29 10:05
Winamax (FR)🎯20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +34.59%E +1.73%K +1.82%G +0.630%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 10:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +27.86%E +1.47%K +1.55%G +0.431%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 10:09
SportsBet🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +27.86%E +1.47%K +1.55%G +0.431%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 09:57
theScore Bet🎯18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +21.13%E +1.17%K +1.24%G +0.263%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-29 10:09
BetAnything🎯17.95I 5.57%NM 5.38%EV +20.80%E +1.16%K +1.23%G +0.255%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.62%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-29 10:04
BoyleSports🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +14.41%E +0.847%K +0.900%G +0.130%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-29 10:10
Coral🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +14.41%E +0.847%K +0.900%G +0.130%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 10:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +14.41%E +0.847%K +0.900%G +0.130%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 10:09
888sport (SE)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +14.41%E +0.847%K +0.900%G +0.130%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 10:09
Codere (IT)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +0.946%E +0.063%K +0.068%G +0.001%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-29 10:00
Winamax (DE)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +0.946%E +0.063%K +0.068%G +0.001%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 10:09
Bovada🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +0.946%E +0.063%K +0.068%G +0.001%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 10:08
Marathon Bet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +0.946%E +0.063%K +0.068%G +0.001%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 09:59
Fanatics🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +0.946%E +0.063%K +0.068%G +0.001%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 10:09
MyBookie.ag🎯14.50I 6.90%NM 6.57%EV -2.42%E -0.167%K -0.179%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.43%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 10:10
Pinnacle🎯14.26I 7.01%NM 6.80%EV -4.03%E -0.283%K -0.304%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.20%EV -3.00%E -2.88%K -74.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-29 10:10
Unibet (FR)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -5.78%E -0.413%K -0.445%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-29 09:59
Bet Right🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -5.78%E -0.413%K -0.445%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 10:08
Casumo🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -5.78%E -0.413%K -0.445%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 10:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -5.78%E -0.413%K -0.445%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 10:09
NetBet (FR)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -5.78%E -0.413%K -0.445%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 10:01
Coolbet🎯13.50I 7.41%NM 7.02%EV -9.15%E -0.678%K -0.732%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.98%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 10:09
Betsson🎯13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -9.15%E -0.678%K -0.732%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 10:09
1xBet🎯13.40I 7.46%NM 7.14%EV -9.82%E -0.733%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.86%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 10:07
Unibet (SE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 10:09
Unibet (NL)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 10:09
Unibet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 10:10
Svenska Spel🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 10:10
ATG (SE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 10:09
betPARX🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 10:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 10:09
FanDuel🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 10:09
Caesars🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 10:08
TAB🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -12.51%E -0.963%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 10:10
GTbets🎯12.65I 7.91%NM 7.46%EV -14.87%E -1.18%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.54%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 09:59
TABtouch🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -15.88%E -1.27%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 10:09
NordicBet🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -15.88%E -1.27%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 10:09
BetMGM🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -15.88%E -1.27%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 10:08
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -19.24%E -1.60%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 10:03
Neds🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -19.24%E -1.60%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 10:03
Paddy Power🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -19.24%E -1.60%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 10:09
Betway🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -19.24%E -1.60%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 10:10
Virgin Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -19.24%E -1.60%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 10:09
Grosvenor🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -19.24%E -1.60%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 10:09
BetOnline.ag🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -22.61%E -1.97%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -2.07%E -1.97%K -41.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 10:10
LowVig.ag🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -22.61%E -1.97%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -2.07%E -1.97%K -41.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 10:09
LiveScore Bet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -22.61%E -1.97%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 10:10
Bally Bet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -22.61%E -1.97%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 10:09
LeoVegas🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -22.61%E -1.97%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -5.80%E -5.74%K -579.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-29 10:09
PlayUp🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -25.97%E -2.36%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -2.07%E -1.97%K -41.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 10:08
Everygame🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -25.97%E -2.36%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.93%E -3.82%K -131.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 09:59
Bet Victor🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -25.97%E -2.36%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 10:09
Tipico (DE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -25.97%E -2.36%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 10:09
Betr (AU)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -25.97%E -2.36%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 10:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -29.34%E -2.79%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -4.86%E -4.77%K -243.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 10:08
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.66%1.07I 93.46%NM 93.34%0.1%2026-05-29 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60%0.8%2026-05-29 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%1.0%2026-05-29 10:10
Matchbook20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%1.2%2026-05-29 10:09
Smarkets14.99I 6.67%NM 6.49%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.51%2.8%2026-05-29 10:09
Novig16.95I 5.90%NM 5.57%1.00I 100.00%NM 94.43%5.9%2026-05-29 10:10