Language:English
Ksenia Efremova v Sorana Cirstea
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ksenia Efremova (Local)
Prediction 8.50%11.76fair odd
EV +27.55%
Edge +1.84%
Kelly +1.97%
Growth +0.542%
assuming max odds 15.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.37%8.43%8.56%11.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.0011.2411.0015.0012.50%8.90%9.09%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sorana Cirstea (Visit)
Prediction 91.50%1.09fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -2.84%
Kelly -50.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
88.79%91.57%91.44%93.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.041.031.0699.01%96.58%97.09%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ksenia Efremova (Local): 8.50%; Sorana Cirstea (Visit): 91.50%. For Ksenia Efremova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.76. 22 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 15.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +27.55%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +27.55%E +1.84%K +1.97%G +0.542% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 19:18 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +27.55%E +1.84%K +1.97%G +0.542% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 19:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 14.80I 6.76%NM 6.45%EV +25.85%E +1.75%K +1.87%G +0.484% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.55%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 19:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 14.20I 7.04%NM 6.89%EV +20.75%E +1.46%K +1.57%G +0.326% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.11%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +19.05%E +1.36%K +1.47%G +0.279% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 19:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +19.05%E +1.36%K +1.47%G +0.279% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 19:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +19.05%E +1.36%K +1.47%G +0.279% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 13.79I 7.25%NM 7.01%EV +17.26%E +1.25%K +1.35%G +0.233% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.99%EV -4.84%E -4.66%K -121.09%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +10.55%E +0.811%K +0.879%G +0.093% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.59%E -7.51%K -758.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +10.55%E +0.811%K +0.879%G +0.093% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.59%E -7.51%K -758.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 12.63I 7.92%NM 7.54%EV +7.40%E +0.586%K +0.636%G +0.047% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.46%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 19:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 12.60I 7.94%NM 7.56%EV +7.14%E +0.567%K +0.616%G +0.044% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.44%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +6.29%E +0.504%K +0.547%G +0.034% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +6.29%E +0.504%K +0.547%G +0.034% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 19:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +6.29%E +0.504%K +0.547%G +0.034% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 19:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 12.45I 8.03%NM 7.64%EV +5.87%E +0.471%K +0.513%G +0.030% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.36%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 19:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +2.04%E +0.170%K +0.186%G +0.004% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-24 19:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +2.04%E +0.170%K +0.186%G +0.004% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.84%E -4.66%K -121.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +2.04%E +0.170%K +0.186%G +0.004% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 19:18 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +2.04%E +0.170%K +0.186%G +0.004% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 19:18 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +2.04%E +0.170%K +0.186%G +0.004% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 19:08 |
| William Hill🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +2.04%E +0.170%K +0.186%G +0.004% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 19:11 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -2.21%E -0.192%K -0.210%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 11.41I 8.76%NM 8.43%EV -2.97%E -0.261%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.57%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 11.41I 8.76%NM 8.43%EV -2.97%E -0.261%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.57%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -6.46%E -0.587%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.84%E -4.66%K -121.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -6.46%E -0.587%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -6.46%E -0.587%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -6.46%E -0.587%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -6.46%E -0.587%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -10.71%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.01%E -2.84%K -50.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.84%E -4.66%K -121.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.84%E -4.66%K -121.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.84%E -4.66%K -121.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 19:18 |
| Betway🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -19.22%E -2.02%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.01%E -2.84%K -50.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -19.22%E -2.02%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.01%E -2.84%K -50.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -21.34%E -2.31%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.89%EV -4.84%E -4.66%K -121.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 19:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -23.47%E -2.61%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -23.47%E -2.61%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-24 19:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -27.72%E -3.26%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -27.72%E -3.26%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -27.72%E -3.26%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -27.72%E -3.26%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -4.84%E -4.66%K -121.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -27.72%E -3.26%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.19%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -31.97%E -4.00%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 88.79%EV -7.59%E -7.51%K -758.86%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60% | 0.8% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.16% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.84% | 1.5% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.16% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.84% | 1.5% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.19% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.81% | 1.8% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.46% | 1.9% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Novig◎ | 11.76I 8.50%NM 8.13% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.88% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |