Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ksenia Efremova v Sorana Cirstea

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 19:24 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ksenia Efremova (Local)

Prévision 8.50%11.76cote équitable
EV +27.55%
Avantage +1.84%
Kelly +1.97%
Croissance +0.542%

avec la cote maximale 15.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.37%8.43%8.56%11.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
8.0011.2411.0015.0012.50%8.90%9.09%6.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sorana Cirstea (Visiteur)

Prévision 91.50%1.09cote équitable
EV -3.01%
Avantage -2.84%
Kelly -50.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
88.79%91.57%91.44%93.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.011.041.031.0699.01%96.58%97.09%94.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ksenia Efremova (Local) : 8.50% ; Sorana Cirstea (Visiteur) : 91.50%. Pour Ksenia Efremova (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 11.76. 22 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 15.00, soit une espérance positive de +27.55%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bovada🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +27.55%E +1.84%K +1.97%G +0.542%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 19:18
SportsBet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +27.55%E +1.84%K +1.97%G +0.542%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 19:15
1xBet🎯14.80I 6.76%NM 6.45%EV +25.85%E +1.75%K +1.87%G +0.484%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.55%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 19:14
DraftKings🎯14.20I 7.04%NM 6.89%EV +20.75%E +1.46%K +1.57%G +0.326%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.11%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-24 19:20
Unibet (FR)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +19.05%E +1.36%K +1.47%G +0.279%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 19:14
Codere (IT)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +19.05%E +1.36%K +1.47%G +0.279%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 19:15
theScore Bet🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +19.05%E +1.36%K +1.47%G +0.279%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 19:20
Pinnacle🎯13.79I 7.25%NM 7.01%EV +17.26%E +1.25%K +1.35%G +0.233%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.99%EV -4.84%E -4.66%K -121.09%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-24 19:20
Tipico (DE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +10.55%E +0.811%K +0.879%G +0.093%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.59%E -7.51%K -758.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 19:20
TAB🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +10.55%E +0.811%K +0.879%G +0.093%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.59%E -7.51%K -758.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 19:20
GTbets🎯12.63I 7.92%NM 7.54%EV +7.40%E +0.586%K +0.636%G +0.047%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.46%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 19:09
Coolbet🎯12.60I 7.94%NM 7.56%EV +7.14%E +0.567%K +0.616%G +0.044%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.44%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 19:20
Winamax (DE)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +6.29%E +0.504%K +0.547%G +0.034%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +6.29%E +0.504%K +0.547%G +0.034%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 19:14
Neds🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +6.29%E +0.504%K +0.547%G +0.034%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 19:14
BetAnything🎯12.45I 8.03%NM 7.64%EV +5.87%E +0.471%K +0.513%G +0.030%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.36%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 19:09
PlayUp🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +2.04%E +0.170%K +0.186%G +0.004%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-24 19:19
Coral🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +2.04%E +0.170%K +0.186%G +0.004%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.84%E -4.66%K -121.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 19:20
Casumo🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +2.04%E +0.170%K +0.186%G +0.004%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 19:18
TABtouch🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +2.04%E +0.170%K +0.186%G +0.004%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 19:18
BetRivers🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +2.04%E +0.170%K +0.186%G +0.004%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 19:08
William Hill🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +2.04%E +0.170%K +0.186%G +0.004%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 19:11
Winamax (FR)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -2.21%E -0.192%K -0.210%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 19:20
LowVig.ag🎯11.41I 8.76%NM 8.43%EV -2.97%E -0.261%K -0.286%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.57%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 19:20
BetOnline.ag🎯11.41I 8.76%NM 8.43%EV -2.97%E -0.261%K -0.286%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.57%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 19:20
Fanatics🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -6.46%E -0.587%K -0.646%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.84%E -4.66%K -121.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 19:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -6.46%E -0.587%K -0.646%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 19:20
FanDuel🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -6.46%E -0.587%K -0.646%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 19:20
NordicBet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -6.46%E -0.587%K -0.646%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 19:20
Betsson🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -6.46%E -0.587%K -0.646%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 19:20
Paddy Power🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -10.71%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 19:20
BoyleSports🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.01%E -2.84%K -50.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 19:20
Unibet (NL)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 19:20
Unibet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 19:20
Svenska Spel🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 19:20
betPARX🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 19:20
888sport🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.84%E -4.66%K -121.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 19:20
Betclic (FR)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.84%E -4.66%K -121.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 19:20
Caesars🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.84%E -4.66%K -121.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 19:18
Betway🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 19:20
Unibet (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -19.22%E -2.02%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.01%E -2.84%K -50.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 19:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -19.22%E -2.02%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.01%E -2.84%K -50.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 19:20
BetMGM🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -21.34%E -2.31%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.89%EV -4.84%E -4.66%K -121.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 19:19
Grosvenor🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -23.47%E -2.61%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 19:20
Bet Victor🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -23.47%E -2.61%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 19:14
Virgin Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -27.72%E -3.26%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 19:20
LiveScore Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -27.72%E -3.26%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 19:20
Bally Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -27.72%E -3.26%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 19:20
LeoVegas🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -27.72%E -3.26%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -4.84%E -4.66%K -121.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -27.72%E -3.26%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.19%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 19:20
PMU (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -31.97%E -4.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 88.79%EV -7.59%E -7.51%K -758.86%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 19:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60%0.8%2026-05-24 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)16.00I 6.25%NM 6.16%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.84%1.5%2026-05-24 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)16.00I 6.25%NM 6.16%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.84%1.5%2026-05-24 19:20
Matchbook12.00I 8.33%NM 8.19%1.07I 93.46%NM 91.81%1.8%2026-05-24 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.46%1.9%2026-05-24 19:20
Novig11.76I 8.50%NM 8.13%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.88%4.7%2026-05-24 19:20