A Escola das Odds

Ksenia Efremova v Sorana Cirstea

Início: 2026-05-24 19:24 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Ksenia Efremova (Local)

Previsão 8.50%11.76odd justa
EV +27.55%
Vantagem +1.84%
Kelly +1.97%
Crescimento +0.542%

pressupondo odds máximas de 15.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
6.37%8.43%8.56%11.21%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
8.0011.2411.0015.0012.50%8.90%9.09%6.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sorana Cirstea (Visitante)

Previsão 91.50%1.09odd justa
EV -3.01%
Vantagem -2.84%
Kelly -50.23%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.06

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
88.79%91.57%91.44%93.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.011.041.031.0699.01%96.58%97.09%94.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bovada15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +27.55%E +1.84%K +1.97%G +0.542%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 19:18
SportsBet15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +27.55%E +1.84%K +1.97%G +0.542%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 19:15
1xBet14.80I 6.76%NM 6.45%EV +25.85%E +1.75%K +1.87%G +0.484%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.55%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 19:14
DraftKings14.20I 7.04%NM 6.89%EV +20.75%E +1.46%K +1.57%G +0.326%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.11%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-24 19:20
Unibet (FR)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +19.05%E +1.36%K +1.47%G +0.279%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 19:14
Codere (IT)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +19.05%E +1.36%K +1.47%G +0.279%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 19:15
theScore Bet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +19.05%E +1.36%K +1.47%G +0.279%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 19:20
Pinnacle13.79I 7.25%NM 7.01%EV +17.26%E +1.25%K +1.35%G +0.233%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.99%EV -4.84%E -4.66%K -121.09%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-24 19:20
Tipico (DE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +10.55%E +0.811%K +0.879%G +0.093%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.59%E -7.51%K -758.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 19:20
TAB13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +10.55%E +0.811%K +0.879%G +0.093%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.59%E -7.51%K -758.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 19:20
GTbets12.63I 7.92%NM 7.54%EV +7.40%E +0.586%K +0.636%G +0.047%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.46%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 19:09
Coolbet12.60I 7.94%NM 7.56%EV +7.14%E +0.567%K +0.616%G +0.044%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.44%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 19:20
Winamax (DE)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +6.29%E +0.504%K +0.547%G +0.034%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +6.29%E +0.504%K +0.547%G +0.034%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 19:14
Neds12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +6.29%E +0.504%K +0.547%G +0.034%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 19:14
BetAnything12.45I 8.03%NM 7.64%EV +5.87%E +0.471%K +0.513%G +0.030%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.36%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 19:09
PlayUp12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +2.04%E +0.170%K +0.186%G +0.004%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-24 19:19
Coral12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +2.04%E +0.170%K +0.186%G +0.004%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.84%E -4.66%K -121.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 19:20
Casumo12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +2.04%E +0.170%K +0.186%G +0.004%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 19:18
TABtouch12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +2.04%E +0.170%K +0.186%G +0.004%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 19:18
BetRivers12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +2.04%E +0.170%K +0.186%G +0.004%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 19:08
William Hill12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +2.04%E +0.170%K +0.186%G +0.004%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 19:11
Winamax (FR)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -2.21%E -0.192%K -0.210%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 19:20
LowVig.ag11.41I 8.76%NM 8.43%EV -2.97%E -0.261%K -0.286%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.57%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 19:20
BetOnline.ag11.41I 8.76%NM 8.43%EV -2.97%E -0.261%K -0.286%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.57%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 19:20
Fanatics11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -6.46%E -0.587%K -0.646%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.84%E -4.66%K -121.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 19:20
PointsBet (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -6.46%E -0.587%K -0.646%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 19:20
FanDuel11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -6.46%E -0.587%K -0.646%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 19:20
NordicBet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -6.46%E -0.587%K -0.646%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 19:20
Betsson11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -6.46%E -0.587%K -0.646%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 19:20
Paddy Power10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -10.71%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 19:20
BoyleSports10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.01%E -2.84%K -50.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 19:20
Unibet (NL)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 19:20
Unibet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 19:20
Svenska Spel10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 19:20
betPARX10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 19:20
888sport10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.84%E -4.66%K -121.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 19:20
Betclic (FR)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.84%E -4.66%K -121.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 19:20
Caesars10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.84%E -4.66%K -121.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 19:18
Betway10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 19:20
Unibet (SE)9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -19.22%E -2.02%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.01%E -2.84%K -50.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 19:20
Hard Rock Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -19.22%E -2.02%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.01%E -2.84%K -50.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 19:20
BetMGM9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -21.34%E -2.31%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.89%EV -4.84%E -4.66%K -121.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 19:19
Grosvenor9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -23.47%E -2.61%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 19:20
Bet Victor9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -23.47%E -2.61%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 19:14
Virgin Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -27.72%E -3.26%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 19:20
LiveScore Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -27.72%E -3.26%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 19:20
Bally Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -27.72%E -3.26%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 19:20
LeoVegas8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -27.72%E -3.26%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -4.84%E -4.66%K -121.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -27.72%E -3.26%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.19%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 19:20
PMU (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -31.97%E -4.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 88.79%EV -7.59%E -7.51%K -758.86%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 19:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60%0.8%2026-05-24 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)16.00I 6.25%NM 6.16%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.84%1.5%2026-05-24 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)16.00I 6.25%NM 6.16%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.84%1.5%2026-05-24 19:20
Matchbook12.00I 8.33%NM 8.19%1.07I 93.46%NM 91.81%1.8%2026-05-24 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.46%1.9%2026-05-24 19:20
Novig11.76I 8.50%NM 8.13%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.88%4.7%2026-05-24 19:20