La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Ksenia Efremova v Sorana Cirstea
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ksenia Efremova (Local)
Predicción 8.50%11.76momio equitativo
EV +27.55%
Ventaja +1.84%
Kelly +1.97%
Crecimiento +0.542%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 15.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
6.37%8.43%8.56%11.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.0011.2411.0015.0012.50%8.90%9.09%6.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Sorana Cirstea (Visitante)
Predicción 91.50%1.09momio equitativo
EV -3.01%
Ventaja -2.84%
Kelly -50.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
88.79%91.57%91.44%93.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.011.041.031.0699.01%96.58%97.09%94.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +27.55%E +1.84%K +1.97%G +0.542% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 19:18 |
| SportsBet | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +27.55%E +1.84%K +1.97%G +0.542% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 19:15 |
| 1xBet | 14.80I 6.76%NM 6.45%EV +25.85%E +1.75%K +1.87%G +0.484% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.55%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 19:14 |
| DraftKings | 14.20I 7.04%NM 6.89%EV +20.75%E +1.46%K +1.57%G +0.326% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.11%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +19.05%E +1.36%K +1.47%G +0.279% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 19:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +19.05%E +1.36%K +1.47%G +0.279% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 19:15 |
| theScore Bet | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +19.05%E +1.36%K +1.47%G +0.279% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Pinnacle | 13.79I 7.25%NM 7.01%EV +17.26%E +1.25%K +1.35%G +0.233% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.99%EV -4.84%E -4.66%K -121.09%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +10.55%E +0.811%K +0.879%G +0.093% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.59%E -7.51%K -758.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| TAB | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +10.55%E +0.811%K +0.879%G +0.093% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.59%E -7.51%K -758.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| GTbets | 12.63I 7.92%NM 7.54%EV +7.40%E +0.586%K +0.636%G +0.047% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.46%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 19:09 |
| Coolbet | 12.60I 7.94%NM 7.56%EV +7.14%E +0.567%K +0.616%G +0.044% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.44%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +6.29%E +0.504%K +0.547%G +0.034% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +6.29%E +0.504%K +0.547%G +0.034% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 19:14 |
| Neds | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +6.29%E +0.504%K +0.547%G +0.034% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 19:14 |
| BetAnything | 12.45I 8.03%NM 7.64%EV +5.87%E +0.471%K +0.513%G +0.030% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.36%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 19:09 |
| PlayUp | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +2.04%E +0.170%K +0.186%G +0.004% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-24 19:19 |
| Coral | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +2.04%E +0.170%K +0.186%G +0.004% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.84%E -4.66%K -121.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Casumo | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +2.04%E +0.170%K +0.186%G +0.004% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 19:18 |
| TABtouch | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +2.04%E +0.170%K +0.186%G +0.004% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 19:18 |
| BetRivers | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +2.04%E +0.170%K +0.186%G +0.004% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 19:08 |
| William Hill | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +2.04%E +0.170%K +0.186%G +0.004% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 19:11 |
| Winamax (FR) | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -2.21%E -0.192%K -0.210%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 11.41I 8.76%NM 8.43%EV -2.97%E -0.261%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.57%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 11.41I 8.76%NM 8.43%EV -2.97%E -0.261%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.57%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Fanatics | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -6.46%E -0.587%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.84%E -4.66%K -121.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -6.46%E -0.587%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| FanDuel | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -6.46%E -0.587%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| NordicBet | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -6.46%E -0.587%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Betsson | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -6.46%E -0.587%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Paddy Power | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -10.71%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| BoyleSports | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.01%E -2.84%K -50.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Unibet | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| betPARX | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| 888sport | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.84%E -4.66%K -121.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.84%E -4.66%K -121.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Caesars | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.84%E -4.66%K -121.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 19:18 |
| Betway | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -14.96%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -19.22%E -2.02%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.01%E -2.84%K -50.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -19.22%E -2.02%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.01%E -2.84%K -50.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| BetMGM | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -21.34%E -2.31%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.89%EV -4.84%E -4.66%K -121.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 19:19 |
| Grosvenor | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -23.47%E -2.61%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Bet Victor | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -23.47%E -2.61%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-24 19:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -27.72%E -3.26%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -27.72%E -3.26%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Bally Bet | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -27.72%E -3.26%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| LeoVegas | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -27.72%E -3.26%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -4.84%E -4.66%K -121.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -27.72%E -3.26%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.19%EV -5.76%E -5.59%K -191.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -31.97%E -4.00%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 88.79%EV -7.59%E -7.51%K -758.86%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60% | 0.8% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.16% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.84% | 1.5% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.16% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.84% | 1.5% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Matchbook | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.19% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.81% | 1.8% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.46% | 1.9% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |
| Novig | 11.76I 8.50%NM 8.13% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.88% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 19:20 |