Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jil Teichmann v Magdalena Frech

Kickoff: 2026-05-27 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jil Teichmann (Local)

Prediction 44.02%2.27fair odd
EV +10.93%
Edge +4.34%
Kelly +7.19%
Growth +0.786%

assuming max odds 2.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.82%43.68%44.52%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.192.152.5252.36%45.58%46.51%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Magdalena Frech (Visit)

Prediction 55.98%1.79fair odd
EV +2.44%
Edge +1.34%
Kelly +2.95%
Growth +0.072%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%56.32%55.48%61.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.661.661.8364.52%60.11%60.24%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jil Teichmann (Local): 44.02%; Magdalena Frech (Visit): 55.98%. For Jil Teichmann (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. 19 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.52, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.93%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV +10.93%E +4.34%K +7.19%G +0.786%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -10.43%E -6.52%K -17.39%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-27 15:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.82%EV +9.61%E +3.86%K +6.45%G +0.620%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.18%EV -11.55%E -7.31%K -19.92%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-27 15:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.82%EV +9.61%E +3.86%K +6.45%G +0.620%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.18%EV -11.55%E -7.31%K -19.92%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-27 15:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV +7.41%E +3.04%K +5.14%G +0.381%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -10.99%E -6.91%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 16:00
SportsBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +6.97%E +2.87%K +4.87%G +0.339%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -12.67%E -8.12%K -22.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 15:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV +6.53%E +2.70%K +4.60%G +0.300%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -12.67%E -8.12%K -22.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 15:58
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV +6.53%E +2.70%K +4.60%G +0.300%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -13.23%E -8.54%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 16:00
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +5.65%E +2.35%K +4.03%G +0.228%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -9.87%E -6.13%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 15:59
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +5.65%E +2.35%K +4.03%G +0.228%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -10.99%E -6.91%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 15:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +5.65%E +2.35%K +4.03%G +0.228%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -11.55%E -7.31%K -19.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 15:50
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +5.65%E +2.35%K +4.03%G +0.228%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -11.55%E -7.31%K -19.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 16:00
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +5.65%E +2.35%K +4.03%G +0.228%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -12.11%E -7.71%K -21.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +5.65%E +2.35%K +4.03%G +0.228%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -12.11%E -7.71%K -21.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 15:40
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +5.65%E +2.35%K +4.03%G +0.228%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -12.11%E -7.71%K -21.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 15:58
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +5.65%E +2.35%K +4.03%G +0.228%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -13.23%E -8.54%K -24.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 16:00
Everygame🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +5.65%E +2.35%K +4.03%G +0.228%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -13.23%E -8.54%K -24.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 15:29
GTbets🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV +3.01%E +1.28%K +2.24%G +0.067%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -11.55%E -7.31%K -19.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 15:59
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV +2.57%E +1.10%K +1.93%G +0.049%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -10.43%E -6.52%K -17.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 15:30
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +1.24%E +0.541%K +0.958%G +0.012%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.31%E -5.75%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 16:05
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.956%E -0.425%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.63%E -4.63%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 16:10
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -0.956%E -0.425%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -10.43%E -6.52%K -17.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 16:10
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -1.40%E -0.623%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -8.75%E -5.37%K -13.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 16:10
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.63%E -4.63%K -11.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 16:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.15%E -1.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 16:10
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 16:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 16:10
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.63%E -4.63%K -11.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 16:10
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -0.914%E -0.517%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 16:08
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 16:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 16:10
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 16:10
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.87%E -6.13%K -16.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-27 16:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +0.765%E +0.425%K +0.956%G +0.007%4.3%2026-05-27 16:09
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.59%E -1.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 16:10
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.15%E -1.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 16:09
Betsson🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -11.52%E -5.73%K -11.41%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -3.71%E -2.16%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 16:10
NordicBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -11.52%E -5.73%K -11.41%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -3.71%E -2.16%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 16:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +0.765%E +0.425%K +0.956%G +0.007%5.6%2026-05-27 16:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.03%E -1.16%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 16:10
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.03%E -1.16%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.03%E -1.16%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 16:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.15%E -1.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 16:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-27 16:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -13.28%E -6.74%K -13.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -1.47%E -0.838%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 16:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -13.28%E -6.74%K -13.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -1.47%E -0.838%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 16:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -13.72%E -7.00%K -14.29%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -7.07%E -4.26%K -10.72%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-27 16:10
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -14.16%E -7.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +0.765%E +0.425%K +0.956%G +0.007%6.8%2026-05-27 16:07
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -14.16%E -7.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -2.03%E -1.16%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-27 16:10
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -15.92%E -8.34%K -17.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +2.44%E +1.34%K +2.95%G +0.072%7.0%2026-05-27 16:08
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-05-27 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-05-27 16:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%1.6%2026-05-27 16:10
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-05-27 16:10
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.3%2026-05-27 16:10
Novig2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%3.7%2026-05-27 16:10