L’École des cotes

Jil Teichmann v Magdalena Frech

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-27 16:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jil Teichmann (Local)

Prévision 44.02%2.27cote équitable
EV +10.93%
Avantage +4.34%
Kelly +7.19%
Croissance +0.786%

avec la cote maximale 2.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.82%43.68%44.52%48.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.192.152.5252.36%45.58%46.51%39.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Magdalena Frech (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.98%1.79cote équitable
EV +2.44%
Avantage +1.34%
Kelly +2.95%
Croissance +0.072%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.07%56.32%55.48%61.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.661.661.8364.52%60.11%60.24%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV +10.93%E +4.34%K +7.19%G +0.786%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -10.43%E -6.52%K -17.39%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-27 15:30
LowVig.ag2.49I 40.16%NM 38.82%EV +9.61%E +3.86%K +6.45%G +0.620%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.18%EV -11.55%E -7.31%K -19.92%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-27 15:30
BetOnline.ag2.49I 40.16%NM 38.82%EV +9.61%E +3.86%K +6.45%G +0.620%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.18%EV -11.55%E -7.31%K -19.92%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-27 15:30
Codere (IT)2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV +7.41%E +3.04%K +5.14%G +0.381%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -10.99%E -6.91%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 16:00
SportsBet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +6.97%E +2.87%K +4.87%G +0.339%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -12.67%E -8.12%K -22.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 15:54
Marathon Bet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV +6.53%E +2.70%K +4.60%G +0.300%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -12.67%E -8.12%K -22.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 15:58
NetBet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV +6.53%E +2.70%K +4.60%G +0.300%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -13.23%E -8.54%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 16:00
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +5.65%E +2.35%K +4.03%G +0.228%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -9.87%E -6.13%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 15:59
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +5.65%E +2.35%K +4.03%G +0.228%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -10.99%E -6.91%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 15:29
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +5.65%E +2.35%K +4.03%G +0.228%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -11.55%E -7.31%K -19.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 15:50
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +5.65%E +2.35%K +4.03%G +0.228%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -11.55%E -7.31%K -19.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 16:00
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +5.65%E +2.35%K +4.03%G +0.228%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -12.11%E -7.71%K -21.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +5.65%E +2.35%K +4.03%G +0.228%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -12.11%E -7.71%K -21.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 15:40
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +5.65%E +2.35%K +4.03%G +0.228%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -12.11%E -7.71%K -21.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 15:58
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +5.65%E +2.35%K +4.03%G +0.228%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -13.23%E -8.54%K -24.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 16:00
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +5.65%E +2.35%K +4.03%G +0.228%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -13.23%E -8.54%K -24.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 15:29
GTbets2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV +3.01%E +1.28%K +2.24%G +0.067%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -11.55%E -7.31%K -19.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 15:59
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV +2.57%E +1.10%K +1.93%G +0.049%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -10.43%E -6.52%K -17.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 15:30
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +1.24%E +0.541%K +0.958%G +0.012%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.31%E -5.75%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 16:05
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.956%E -0.425%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.63%E -4.63%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 16:10
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -0.956%E -0.425%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -10.43%E -6.52%K -17.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 16:10
DraftKings2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -1.40%E -0.623%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -8.75%E -5.37%K -13.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 16:10
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.63%E -4.63%K -11.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 16:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.15%E -1.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 16:10
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 16:10
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 16:10
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.63%E -4.63%K -11.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 16:10
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -0.914%E -0.517%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 16:08
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 16:10
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 16:10
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 16:10
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 16:10
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 16:10
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.87%E -6.13%K -16.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-27 16:10
MyBookie.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +0.765%E +0.425%K +0.956%G +0.007%4.3%2026-05-27 16:09
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.59%E -1.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 16:10
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.15%E -1.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 16:09
Betsson2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -11.52%E -5.73%K -11.41%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -3.71%E -2.16%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 16:10
NordicBet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -11.52%E -5.73%K -11.41%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -3.71%E -2.16%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 16:10
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +0.765%E +0.425%K +0.956%G +0.007%5.6%2026-05-27 16:10
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.03%E -1.16%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 16:10
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.03%E -1.16%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.03%E -1.16%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 16:10
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.15%E -1.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 16:09
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-27 16:10
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -13.28%E -6.74%K -13.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -1.47%E -0.838%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 16:10
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -13.28%E -6.74%K -13.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -1.47%E -0.838%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 16:10
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -13.72%E -7.00%K -14.29%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -7.07%E -4.26%K -10.72%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-27 16:10
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -14.16%E -7.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +0.765%E +0.425%K +0.956%G +0.007%6.8%2026-05-27 16:07
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -14.16%E -7.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -2.03%E -1.16%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-27 16:10
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -15.92%E -8.34%K -17.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +2.44%E +1.34%K +2.95%G +0.072%7.0%2026-05-27 16:08
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-05-27 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-05-27 16:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%1.6%2026-05-27 16:10
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-05-27 16:10
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.3%2026-05-27 16:10
Novig2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%3.7%2026-05-27 16:10