Szkoła Kursów

Jil Teichmann v Magdalena Frech

Początek: 2026-05-27 16:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

51 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Jil Teichmann (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 44.02%2.27kurs godziwy
EV +10.93%
Przewaga +4.34%
Kelly +7.19%
Wzrost +0.786%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.52

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
38.82%43.68%44.52%48.93%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.912.192.152.5252.36%45.58%46.51%39.68%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Magdalena Frech (Goście)

Prognoza 55.98%1.79kurs godziwy
EV +2.44%
Przewaga +1.34%
Kelly +2.95%
Wzrost +0.072%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.83

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
51.07%56.32%55.48%61.18%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.551.661.661.8364.52%60.11%60.24%54.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (51 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV +10.93%E +4.34%K +7.19%G +0.786%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -10.43%E -6.52%K -17.39%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-27 15:30
LowVig.ag2.49I 40.16%NM 38.82%EV +9.61%E +3.86%K +6.45%G +0.620%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.18%EV -11.55%E -7.31%K -19.92%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-27 15:30
BetOnline.ag2.49I 40.16%NM 38.82%EV +9.61%E +3.86%K +6.45%G +0.620%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.18%EV -11.55%E -7.31%K -19.92%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-27 15:30
Codere (IT)2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV +7.41%E +3.04%K +5.14%G +0.381%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -10.99%E -6.91%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 16:00
SportsBet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +6.97%E +2.87%K +4.87%G +0.339%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -12.67%E -8.12%K -22.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 15:54
Marathon Bet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV +6.53%E +2.70%K +4.60%G +0.300%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -12.67%E -8.12%K -22.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 15:58
NetBet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV +6.53%E +2.70%K +4.60%G +0.300%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -13.23%E -8.54%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 16:00
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +5.65%E +2.35%K +4.03%G +0.228%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -9.87%E -6.13%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 15:59
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +5.65%E +2.35%K +4.03%G +0.228%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -10.99%E -6.91%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 15:29
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +5.65%E +2.35%K +4.03%G +0.228%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -11.55%E -7.31%K -19.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 15:50
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +5.65%E +2.35%K +4.03%G +0.228%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -11.55%E -7.31%K -19.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 16:00
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +5.65%E +2.35%K +4.03%G +0.228%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -12.11%E -7.71%K -21.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +5.65%E +2.35%K +4.03%G +0.228%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -12.11%E -7.71%K -21.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 15:40
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +5.65%E +2.35%K +4.03%G +0.228%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -12.11%E -7.71%K -21.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 15:58
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +5.65%E +2.35%K +4.03%G +0.228%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -13.23%E -8.54%K -24.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 16:00
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +5.65%E +2.35%K +4.03%G +0.228%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -13.23%E -8.54%K -24.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 15:29
GTbets2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV +3.01%E +1.28%K +2.24%G +0.067%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -11.55%E -7.31%K -19.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 15:59
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV +2.57%E +1.10%K +1.93%G +0.049%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -10.43%E -6.52%K -17.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 15:30
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +1.24%E +0.541%K +0.958%G +0.012%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.31%E -5.75%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 16:05
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.956%E -0.425%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.63%E -4.63%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 16:10
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -0.956%E -0.425%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -10.43%E -6.52%K -17.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 16:10
DraftKings2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -1.40%E -0.623%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -8.75%E -5.37%K -13.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 16:10
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.63%E -4.63%K -11.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 16:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.15%E -1.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 16:10
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 16:10
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 16:10
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.63%E -4.63%K -11.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 16:10
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -0.914%E -0.517%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 16:08
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 16:10
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 16:10
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 16:10
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 16:10
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 16:10
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.87%E -6.13%K -16.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-27 16:10
MyBookie.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +0.765%E +0.425%K +0.956%G +0.007%4.3%2026-05-27 16:09
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.59%E -1.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 16:10
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.15%E -1.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 16:09
Betsson2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -11.52%E -5.73%K -11.41%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -3.71%E -2.16%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 16:10
NordicBet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -11.52%E -5.73%K -11.41%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -3.71%E -2.16%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 16:10
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +0.765%E +0.425%K +0.956%G +0.007%5.6%2026-05-27 16:10
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.03%E -1.16%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 16:10
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.03%E -1.16%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.03%E -1.16%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 16:10
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.15%E -1.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 16:09
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-27 16:10
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -13.28%E -6.74%K -13.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -1.47%E -0.838%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 16:10
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -13.28%E -6.74%K -13.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -1.47%E -0.838%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 16:10
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -13.72%E -7.00%K -14.29%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -7.07%E -4.26%K -10.72%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-27 16:10
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -14.16%E -7.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +0.765%E +0.425%K +0.956%G +0.007%6.8%2026-05-27 16:07
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -14.16%E -7.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -2.03%E -1.16%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-27 16:10
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -15.92%E -8.34%K -17.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +2.44%E +1.34%K +2.95%G +0.072%7.0%2026-05-27 16:08
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-05-27 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-05-27 16:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%1.6%2026-05-27 16:10
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-05-27 16:10
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.3%2026-05-27 16:10
Novig2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%3.7%2026-05-27 16:10