Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aryna Sabalenka v Naomi Osaka

Início: 2026-06-01 18:25 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Previsão 77.87%1.28odd justa
EV -2.66%
Vantagem -2.13%
Kelly -10.63%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
76.19%77.91%77.84%79.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.181.221.221.2584.75%82.02%81.97%80.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Naomi Osaka (Visitante)

Previsão 22.13%4.52odd justa
EV +2.88%
Vantagem +0.620%
Kelly +0.790%
Crescimento +0.023%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.42%22.09%22.16%23.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.304.304.6525.00%23.26%23.26%21.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Aryna Sabalenka (Local): 77.87%; Naomi Osaka (Visitante): 22.13%. Para Naomi Osaka (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.52. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.65, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.88%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV +2.88%E +0.620%K +0.790%G +0.023%4.8%2026-06-01 18:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +1.78%E +0.386%K +0.494%G +0.009%3.7%2026-06-01 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -8.11%E -6.87%K -45.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +1.78%E +0.386%K +0.494%G +0.009%6.5%2026-06-01 18:20
Coolbet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.44%E -2.77%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -0.435%E -0.097%K -0.124%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-01 18:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.44%E -2.77%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -0.435%E -0.097%K -0.124%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-01 18:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -0.435%E -0.097%K -0.124%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-01 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.435%E -0.097%K -0.124%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-01 18:13
LowVig.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.435%E -0.097%K -0.124%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-01 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.435%E -0.097%K -0.124%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-01 18:20
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.435%E -0.097%K -0.124%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-01 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.435%E -0.097%K -0.124%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-01 18:18
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-01 18:19
Casumo🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-01 18:20
LeoVegas🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-01 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-01 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-01 18:20
Grosvenor🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-01 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-01 18:20
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-01 18:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-01 18:19
Bally Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-01 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-01 18:20
theScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-01 18:20
Bet Right🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 18:14
DraftKings🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.14%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.86%EV -3.53%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-01 18:20
TABtouch🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -3.75%E -0.863%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-01 18:19
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.20%E -0.969%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-01 18:20
GTbets🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.70%EV -3.44%E -2.77%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.30%EV -4.42%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-01 18:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.44%E -2.77%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -4.86%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 18:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.86%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-01 18:16
Virgin Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.86%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-01 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.86%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-01 18:20
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.72%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.28%EV -5.08%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-01 18:20
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.44%E -2.77%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.97%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-01 18:18
BetMGM🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -5.97%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 18:20
BetAnything🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.44%E -2.77%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-01 18:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-01 18:20
Fanatics🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-01 18:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-01 18:19
Everygame🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-01 18:07
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-01 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-01 18:19
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-01 18:20
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-01 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-01 18:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-01 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-01 18:20
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-01 18:20
Caesars🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-01 18:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -8.18%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-01 18:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -8.18%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-01 18:19
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.29%E -2.26%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-01 18:19
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.29%E -2.26%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-01 18:20
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.29%E -2.26%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-01 18:19
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -2.66%E -2.13%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -11.28%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-01 18:20
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.66%E -2.13%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.50%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-01 18:20
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.50%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-01 18:13
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.50%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-01 18:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -7.33%E -6.16%K -38.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -11.50%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-01 18:17
Fliff🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -7.33%E -6.16%K -38.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -11.50%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-01 18:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%0.4%2026-06-01 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-06-01 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-06-01 18:20
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-06-01 18:20
Smarkets1.23I 81.30%NM 79.93%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07%1.7%2026-06-01 18:20
Novig1.24I 80.65%NM 79.26%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.74%1.7%2026-06-01 18:20