La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Aryna Sabalenka v Naomi Osaka
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Predicción 77.87%1.28momio equitativo
EV -2.66%
Ventaja -2.13%
Kelly -10.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.19%77.91%77.84%79.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.181.221.221.2584.75%82.02%81.97%80.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Naomi Osaka (Visitante)
Predicción 22.13%4.52momio equitativo
EV +2.88%
Ventaja +0.620%
Kelly +0.790%
Crecimiento +0.023%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.42%22.09%22.16%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.304.304.6525.00%23.26%23.26%21.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV +2.88%E +0.620%K +0.790%G +0.023% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +1.78%E +0.386%K +0.494%G +0.009% | 3.7% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -8.11%E -6.87%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +1.78%E +0.386%K +0.494%G +0.009% | 6.5% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.44%E -2.77%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -0.435%E -0.097%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.44%E -2.77%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -0.435%E -0.097%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -0.435%E -0.097%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.435%E -0.097%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-01 18:13 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.435%E -0.097%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.435%E -0.097%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.435%E -0.097%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.435%E -0.097%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-01 18:18 |
| Unibet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| Casumo | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| betPARX | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| Bally Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-01 18:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.14%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.86%EV -3.53%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -3.75%E -0.863%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.20%E -0.969%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| GTbets | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.70%EV -3.44%E -2.77%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.30%EV -4.42%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-01 18:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.44%E -2.77%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -4.86%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.86%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-01 18:16 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.86%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.86%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.72%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.28%EV -5.08%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Bovada | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.44%E -2.77%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.97%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-01 18:18 |
| BetMGM | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -5.97%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| BetAnything | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.44%E -2.77%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-01 18:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| Everygame | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-01 18:07 |
| Neds | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| TAB | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Coral | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Caesars | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -8.18%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -8.18%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| Betsson | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.29%E -2.26%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.29%E -2.26%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.29%E -2.26%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -2.66%E -2.13%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -11.28%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.66%E -2.13%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.50%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.50%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-01 18:13 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.50%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -7.33%E -6.16%K -38.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -11.50%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-01 18:17 |
| Fliff | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -7.33%E -6.16%K -38.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -11.50%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 0.4% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.93% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07% | 1.7% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Novig | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.26% | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.74% | 1.7% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |