L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Aryna Sabalenka v Naomi Osaka
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Prévision 77.87%1.28cote équitable
EV -2.66%
Avantage -2.13%
Kelly -10.63%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.19%77.91%77.84%79.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.181.221.221.2584.75%82.02%81.97%80.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Naomi Osaka (Visiteur)
Prévision 22.13%4.52cote équitable
EV +2.88%
Avantage +0.620%
Kelly +0.790%
Croissance +0.023%
avec la cote maximale 4.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.42%22.09%22.16%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.304.304.6525.00%23.26%23.26%21.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV +2.88%E +0.620%K +0.790%G +0.023% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +1.78%E +0.386%K +0.494%G +0.009% | 3.7% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -8.11%E -6.87%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +1.78%E +0.386%K +0.494%G +0.009% | 6.5% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.44%E -2.77%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -0.435%E -0.097%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.44%E -2.77%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -0.435%E -0.097%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -0.435%E -0.097%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.435%E -0.097%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-01 18:13 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.435%E -0.097%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.435%E -0.097%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.435%E -0.097%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.435%E -0.097%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-01 18:18 |
| Unibet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| Casumo | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| betPARX | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| Bally Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-01 18:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.14%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.86%EV -3.53%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -3.75%E -0.863%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.20%E -0.969%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| GTbets | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.70%EV -3.44%E -2.77%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.30%EV -4.42%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-01 18:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.44%E -2.77%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -4.86%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.86%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-01 18:16 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.86%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.86%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.72%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.28%EV -5.08%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Bovada | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.44%E -2.77%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.97%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-01 18:18 |
| BetMGM | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -5.97%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| BetAnything | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.44%E -2.77%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-01 18:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| Everygame | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-01 18:07 |
| Neds | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| TAB | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Coral | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Caesars | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -8.18%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -8.18%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| Betsson | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.29%E -2.26%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.29%E -2.26%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.29%E -2.26%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -2.66%E -2.13%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -11.28%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.66%E -2.13%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.50%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.50%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-01 18:13 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.50%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -7.33%E -6.16%K -38.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -11.50%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-01 18:17 |
| Fliff | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -7.33%E -6.16%K -38.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -11.50%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 0.4% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.93% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07% | 1.7% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Novig | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.26% | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.74% | 1.7% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |