La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Aryna Sabalenka v Naomi Osaka
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Aryna Sabalenka (Casa)
Previsione 77.87%1.28quota equa
EV -2.66%
Vantaggio -2.13%
Kelly -10.63%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
76.19%77.91%77.84%79.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.181.221.221.2584.75%82.02%81.97%80.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Naomi Osaka (Trasferta)
Previsione 22.13%4.52quota equa
EV +2.88%
Vantaggio +0.620%
Kelly +0.790%
Crescita +0.023%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.65
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.42%22.09%22.16%23.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.304.304.6525.00%23.26%23.26%21.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV +2.88%E +0.620%K +0.790%G +0.023% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +1.78%E +0.386%K +0.494%G +0.009% | 3.7% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -8.11%E -6.87%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +1.78%E +0.386%K +0.494%G +0.009% | 6.5% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.44%E -2.77%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -0.435%E -0.097%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.44%E -2.77%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -0.435%E -0.097%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -0.435%E -0.097%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.435%E -0.097%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-01 18:13 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.435%E -0.097%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.435%E -0.097%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.435%E -0.097%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.435%E -0.097%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-01 18:18 |
| Unibet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| Casumo | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| betPARX | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| Bally Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.65%E -0.602%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-01 18:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.14%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.86%EV -3.53%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -3.75%E -0.863%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.20%E -0.969%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| GTbets | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.70%EV -3.44%E -2.77%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.30%EV -4.42%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-01 18:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.44%E -2.77%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -4.86%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.86%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-01 18:16 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.86%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.86%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.72%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.28%EV -5.08%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Bovada | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.44%E -2.77%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.97%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-01 18:18 |
| BetMGM | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.77%E -4.77%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -5.97%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| BetAnything | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.44%E -2.77%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-01 18:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.21%E -3.43%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| Everygame | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-01 18:07 |
| Neds | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| TAB | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Coral | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Caesars | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -8.18%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -8.18%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| Betsson | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.29%E -2.26%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.29%E -2.26%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.99%E -4.09%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.29%E -2.26%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -2.66%E -2.13%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -11.28%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.66%E -2.13%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.50%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.50%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-01 18:13 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.55%E -5.46%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.50%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -7.33%E -6.16%K -38.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -11.50%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-01 18:17 |
| Fliff | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -7.33%E -6.16%K -38.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -11.50%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-01 18:19 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 0.4% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.93% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07% | 1.7% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |
| Novig | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.26% | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.74% | 1.7% | 2026-06-01 18:20 |