Language:English
Aryna Sabalenka v Diana Shnaider
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Prediction 87.30%1.15fair odd
EV +0.391%
Edge +0.340%
Kelly +2.61%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 1.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.39%87.15%87.36%89.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.091.101.1594.34%91.35%90.91%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Diana Shnaider (Visit)
Prediction 12.70%7.87fair odd
EV +14.33%
Edge +1.59%
Kelly +1.79%
Growth +0.257%
assuming max odds 9.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.54%12.85%12.64%15.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.437.509.0016.67%13.46%13.33%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aryna Sabalenka (Local): 87.30%; Diana Shnaider (Visit): 12.70%. For Diana Shnaider (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.87. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.33%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.47%E -7.04%K -124.43%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +14.33%E +1.59%K +1.79%G +0.257% | 5.5% | 2026-06-03 11:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +7.98%E +0.939%K +1.06%G +0.085% | 3.5% | 2026-06-03 09:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.47%E -7.04%K -124.43%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +7.98%E +0.939%K +1.06%G +0.085% | 6.1% | 2026-06-03 10:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV +4.17%E +0.508%K +0.579%G +0.024% | 4.8% | 2026-06-03 11:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.17%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000% | 8.05I 12.42%NM 11.83%EV +2.26%E +0.281%K +0.321%G +0.007% | 5.0% | 2026-06-03 11:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +1.63%E +0.203%K +0.232%G +0.004% | 4.2% | 2026-06-03 10:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +1.63%E +0.203%K +0.232%G +0.004% | 4.2% | 2026-06-03 10:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +1.63%E +0.203%K +0.232%G +0.004% | 4.2% | 2026-06-03 11:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +1.63%E +0.203%K +0.232%G +0.004% | 5.1% | 2026-06-03 11:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +1.63%E +0.203%K +0.232%G +0.004% | 5.1% | 2026-06-03 11:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV -0.913%E -0.117%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-03 11:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV -0.913%E -0.117%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-03 10:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.47%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.53%EV -1.55%E -0.200%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-03 09:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -1.55%E -0.200%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-03 11:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -6.59%E -6.16%K -94.18%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -1.55%E -0.200%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-03 11:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.46%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 7.74I 12.92%NM 12.54%EV -1.68%E -0.216%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-03 11:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV -3.45%E -0.454%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-03 11:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.56%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.44%EV -3.45%E -0.454%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-03 11:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-03 10:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-03 09:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-03 10:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-03 10:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-03 10:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-03 10:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-03 10:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-03 09:58 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-03 10:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-03 09:58 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-03 10:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-03 10:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-03 10:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-03 10:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-03 11:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-03 10:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-03 10:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-03 08:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.32%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000% | 7.44I 13.44%NM 12.68%EV -5.49%E -0.737%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-03 11:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.32%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000% | 7.44I 13.44%NM 12.68%EV -5.49%E -0.737%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-03 11:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV -6.38%E -0.865%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-03 11:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV -6.38%E -0.865%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-03 11:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.19%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000% | 7.35I 13.61%NM 12.81%EV -6.63%E -0.902%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-03 11:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.37%EV +0.391%E +0.340%K +2.61%G +0.010% | 7.29I 13.72%NM 13.63%EV -7.39%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 0.7% | 2026-06-03 09:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -7.90%E -1.09%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-03 10:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.54%EV -2.23%E -1.99%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.46%EV -8.54%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-03 11:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000% | 7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -10.69%E -1.52%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-03 11:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.08%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-03 08:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.08%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-03 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.08%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-03 10:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.08%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-03 10:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -11.08%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-03 09:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -11.08%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-03 09:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -11.08%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-03 10:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -11.08%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-03 10:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.08%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-03 10:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.23%E -1.99%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -17.43%E -2.68%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-03 08:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -17.43%E -2.68%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-03 11:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -17.43%E -2.68%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-03 11:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -18.06%E -2.80%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-03 11:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -23.78%E -3.96%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-03 09:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -23.78%E -3.96%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-03 09:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07% | 0.4% | 2026-06-03 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07% | 0.4% | 2026-06-03 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 0.6% | 2026-06-03 11:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 0.6% | 2026-06-03 11:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.70% | 8.06I 12.41%NM 12.30% | 0.9% | 2026-06-03 11:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.80% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.20% | 1.5% | 2026-06-03 11:20 |