La escuela de los momios

Aryna Sabalenka v Diana Shnaider

Inicio: 2026-06-03 11:25 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Predicción 87.30%1.15momio equitativo
EV +0.391%
Ventaja +0.340%
Kelly +2.61%
Crecimiento +0.010%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
84.39%87.15%87.36%89.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.061.091.101.1594.34%91.35%90.91%86.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Diana Shnaider (Visitante)

Predicción 12.70%7.87momio equitativo
EV +14.33%
Ventaja +1.59%
Kelly +1.79%
Crecimiento +0.257%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.54%12.85%12.64%15.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.007.437.509.0016.67%13.46%13.33%11.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
theScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.47%E -7.04%K -124.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +14.33%E +1.59%K +1.79%G +0.257%5.5%2026-06-03 11:20
Winamax (DE)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +7.98%E +0.939%K +1.06%G +0.085%3.5%2026-06-03 09:20
Tipico (DE)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.47%E -7.04%K -124.43%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +7.98%E +0.939%K +1.06%G +0.085%6.1%2026-06-03 10:49
FanDuel1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV +4.17%E +0.508%K +0.579%G +0.024%4.8%2026-06-03 11:10
MyBookie.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 88.17%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.83%EV +2.26%E +0.281%K +0.321%G +0.007%5.0%2026-06-03 11:09
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +1.63%E +0.203%K +0.232%G +0.004%4.2%2026-06-03 10:00
Fanatics1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +1.63%E +0.203%K +0.232%G +0.004%4.2%2026-06-03 10:50
Winamax (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +1.63%E +0.203%K +0.232%G +0.004%4.2%2026-06-03 11:00
Paddy Power1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +1.63%E +0.203%K +0.232%G +0.004%5.1%2026-06-03 11:10
SportsBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +1.63%E +0.203%K +0.232%G +0.004%5.1%2026-06-03 11:10
Unibet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV -0.913%E -0.117%K -0.134%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-03 11:10
Codere (IT)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV -0.913%E -0.117%K -0.134%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-03 10:59
Coolbet1.11I 90.09%NM 87.47%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.19%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.53%EV -1.55%E -0.200%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-03 09:10
Bovada1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -1.55%E -0.200%K -0.229%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 11:20
NetBet (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -6.59%E -6.16%K -94.18%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -1.55%E -0.200%K -0.229%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 11:20
Pinnacle1.11I 90.09%NM 87.46%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.19%G +0.000%7.74I 12.92%NM 12.54%EV -1.68%E -0.216%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-03 11:20
Marathon Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV -3.45%E -0.454%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 11:10
Betclic (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.56%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.44%EV -3.45%E -0.454%K -0.523%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-03 11:19
Unibet1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 10:00
LeoVegas1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 09:59
Unibet (NL)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 10:00
Grosvenor1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 10:00
Casumo1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 10:00
Unibet (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 10:00
Bally Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 09:58
Svenska Spel1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 10:00
betPARX1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 09:58
ATG (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 10:00
Hard Rock Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 10:00
BetRivers1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 10:00
TABtouch1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 10:00
Bet Right1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 11:10
LiveScore Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 10:00
Virgin Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 10:00
Everygame1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 08:30
NordicBet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.32%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000%7.44I 13.44%NM 12.68%EV -5.49%E -0.737%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 11:20
Betsson1.08I 92.59%NM 87.32%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000%7.44I 13.44%NM 12.68%EV -5.49%E -0.737%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 11:20
LowVig.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.19%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV -6.38%E -0.865%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-03 11:19
BetOnline.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.19%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV -6.38%E -0.865%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-03 11:20
Fliff1.08I 92.59%NM 87.19%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000%7.35I 13.61%NM 12.81%EV -6.63%E -0.902%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-03 11:20
GTbets1.15I 86.96%NM 86.37%EV +0.391%E +0.340%K +2.61%G +0.010%7.29I 13.72%NM 13.63%EV -7.39%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%0.7%2026-06-03 09:59
BetMGM1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -7.90%E -1.09%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 10:19
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 86.54%EV -2.23%E -1.99%K -18.57%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.46%EV -8.54%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-03 11:20
1xBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -10.69%E -1.52%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 11:14
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.08%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 08:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.08%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.08%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 10:20
Neds1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.08%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 10:10
PointsBet (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -11.08%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 09:50
Betr (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -11.08%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 09:50
Coral1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -11.08%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 10:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -11.08%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 10:20
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.08%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-03 10:49
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.23%E -1.99%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -17.43%E -2.68%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 08:29
PlayUp1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -17.43%E -2.68%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-03 11:10
TAB1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -17.43%E -2.68%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-03 11:19
BetAnything1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.19%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -18.06%E -2.80%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-03 11:20
Caesars1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -23.78%E -3.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-03 09:09
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -23.78%E -3.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-03 09:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-06-03 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-06-03 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-06-03 11:10
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-06-03 11:10
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 87.70%8.06I 12.41%NM 12.30%0.9%2026-06-03 11:19
Smarkets1.11I 90.09%NM 88.80%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.20%1.5%2026-06-03 11:20