L’École des cotes

Aryna Sabalenka v Diana Shnaider

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-03 11:25 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Prévision 87.30%1.15cote équitable
EV +0.391%
Avantage +0.340%
Kelly +2.61%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 1.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
84.39%87.15%87.36%89.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.061.091.101.1594.34%91.35%90.91%86.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Diana Shnaider (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.70%7.87cote équitable
EV +14.33%
Avantage +1.59%
Kelly +1.79%
Croissance +0.257%

avec la cote maximale 9.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.54%12.85%12.64%15.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.007.437.509.0016.67%13.46%13.33%11.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
theScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.47%E -7.04%K -124.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +14.33%E +1.59%K +1.79%G +0.257%5.5%2026-06-03 11:20
Winamax (DE)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +7.98%E +0.939%K +1.06%G +0.085%3.5%2026-06-03 09:20
Tipico (DE)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.47%E -7.04%K -124.43%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +7.98%E +0.939%K +1.06%G +0.085%6.1%2026-06-03 10:49
FanDuel1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV +4.17%E +0.508%K +0.579%G +0.024%4.8%2026-06-03 11:10
MyBookie.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 88.17%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.83%EV +2.26%E +0.281%K +0.321%G +0.007%5.0%2026-06-03 11:09
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +1.63%E +0.203%K +0.232%G +0.004%4.2%2026-06-03 10:00
Fanatics1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +1.63%E +0.203%K +0.232%G +0.004%4.2%2026-06-03 10:50
Winamax (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +1.63%E +0.203%K +0.232%G +0.004%4.2%2026-06-03 11:00
Paddy Power1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +1.63%E +0.203%K +0.232%G +0.004%5.1%2026-06-03 11:10
SportsBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +1.63%E +0.203%K +0.232%G +0.004%5.1%2026-06-03 11:10
Unibet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV -0.913%E -0.117%K -0.134%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-03 11:10
Codere (IT)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV -0.913%E -0.117%K -0.134%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-03 10:59
Coolbet1.11I 90.09%NM 87.47%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.19%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.53%EV -1.55%E -0.200%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-03 09:10
Bovada1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -1.55%E -0.200%K -0.229%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 11:20
NetBet (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -6.59%E -6.16%K -94.18%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -1.55%E -0.200%K -0.229%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 11:20
Pinnacle1.11I 90.09%NM 87.46%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.19%G +0.000%7.74I 12.92%NM 12.54%EV -1.68%E -0.216%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-03 11:20
Marathon Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV -3.45%E -0.454%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 11:10
Betclic (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.56%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.44%EV -3.45%E -0.454%K -0.523%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-03 11:19
Unibet1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 10:00
LeoVegas1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 09:59
Unibet (NL)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 10:00
Grosvenor1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 10:00
Casumo1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 10:00
Unibet (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 10:00
Bally Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 09:58
Svenska Spel1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 10:00
betPARX1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 09:58
ATG (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 10:00
Hard Rock Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 10:00
BetRivers1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 10:00
TABtouch1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 10:00
Bet Right1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 11:10
LiveScore Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 10:00
Virgin Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 10:00
Everygame1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 08:30
NordicBet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.32%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000%7.44I 13.44%NM 12.68%EV -5.49%E -0.737%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 11:20
Betsson1.08I 92.59%NM 87.32%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000%7.44I 13.44%NM 12.68%EV -5.49%E -0.737%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 11:20
LowVig.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.19%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV -6.38%E -0.865%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-03 11:19
BetOnline.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.19%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV -6.38%E -0.865%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-03 11:20
Fliff1.08I 92.59%NM 87.19%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000%7.35I 13.61%NM 12.81%EV -6.63%E -0.902%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-03 11:20
GTbets1.15I 86.96%NM 86.37%EV +0.391%E +0.340%K +2.61%G +0.010%7.29I 13.72%NM 13.63%EV -7.39%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%0.7%2026-06-03 09:59
BetMGM1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -7.90%E -1.09%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 10:19
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 86.54%EV -2.23%E -1.99%K -18.57%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.46%EV -8.54%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-03 11:20
1xBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -10.69%E -1.52%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 11:14
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.08%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 08:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.08%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.08%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 10:20
Neds1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.08%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 10:10
PointsBet (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -11.08%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 09:50
Betr (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -11.08%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 09:50
Coral1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -11.08%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 10:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -11.08%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 10:20
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.08%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-03 10:49
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.23%E -1.99%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -17.43%E -2.68%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 08:29
PlayUp1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -17.43%E -2.68%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-03 11:10
TAB1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -17.43%E -2.68%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-03 11:19
BetAnything1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.19%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -18.06%E -2.80%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-03 11:20
Caesars1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -23.78%E -3.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-03 09:09
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -23.78%E -3.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-03 09:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-06-03 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-06-03 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-06-03 11:10
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-06-03 11:10
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 87.70%8.06I 12.41%NM 12.30%0.9%2026-06-03 11:19
Smarkets1.11I 90.09%NM 88.80%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.20%1.5%2026-06-03 11:20