Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aryna Sabalenka v Diana Shnaider

Início: 2026-06-03 11:25 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Previsão 87.30%1.15odd justa
EV +0.391%
Vantagem +0.340%
Kelly +2.61%
Crescimento +0.010%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
84.39%87.15%87.36%89.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.061.091.101.1594.34%91.35%90.91%86.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Diana Shnaider (Visitante)

Previsão 12.70%7.87odd justa
EV +14.33%
Vantagem +1.59%
Kelly +1.79%
Crescimento +0.257%

pressupondo odds máximas de 9.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
10.54%12.85%12.64%15.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.007.437.509.0016.67%13.46%13.33%11.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Aryna Sabalenka (Local): 87.30%; Diana Shnaider (Visitante): 12.70%. Para Diana Shnaider (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 7.87. 10 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 9.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +14.33%.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
theScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.47%E -7.04%K -124.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +14.33%E +1.59%K +1.79%G +0.257%5.5%2026-06-03 11:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +7.98%E +0.939%K +1.06%G +0.085%3.5%2026-06-03 09:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.47%E -7.04%K -124.43%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +7.98%E +0.939%K +1.06%G +0.085%6.1%2026-06-03 10:49
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV +4.17%E +0.508%K +0.579%G +0.024%4.8%2026-06-03 11:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.17%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.83%EV +2.26%E +0.281%K +0.321%G +0.007%5.0%2026-06-03 11:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +1.63%E +0.203%K +0.232%G +0.004%4.2%2026-06-03 10:00
Fanatics🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +1.63%E +0.203%K +0.232%G +0.004%4.2%2026-06-03 10:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +1.63%E +0.203%K +0.232%G +0.004%4.2%2026-06-03 11:00
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +1.63%E +0.203%K +0.232%G +0.004%5.1%2026-06-03 11:10
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +1.63%E +0.203%K +0.232%G +0.004%5.1%2026-06-03 11:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV -0.913%E -0.117%K -0.134%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-03 11:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV -0.913%E -0.117%K -0.134%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-03 10:59
Coolbet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.47%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.19%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.53%EV -1.55%E -0.200%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-03 09:10
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -1.55%E -0.200%K -0.229%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 11:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -6.59%E -6.16%K -94.18%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -1.55%E -0.200%K -0.229%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 11:20
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.46%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.19%G +0.000%7.74I 12.92%NM 12.54%EV -1.68%E -0.216%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-03 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV -3.45%E -0.454%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 11:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.56%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.44%EV -3.45%E -0.454%K -0.523%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-03 11:19
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 10:00
LeoVegas🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 09:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 10:00
Grosvenor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 10:00
Casumo🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 10:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 10:00
Bally Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 09:58
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 10:00
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 09:58
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 10:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 10:00
BetRivers🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 10:00
TABtouch🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 10:00
Bet Right🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 10:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 10:00
Everygame🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.72%E -0.630%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 08:30
NordicBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.32%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000%7.44I 13.44%NM 12.68%EV -5.49%E -0.737%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 11:20
Betsson🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.32%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000%7.44I 13.44%NM 12.68%EV -5.49%E -0.737%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 11:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.19%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV -6.38%E -0.865%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-03 11:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.19%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV -6.38%E -0.865%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-03 11:20
Fliff🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.19%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000%7.35I 13.61%NM 12.81%EV -6.63%E -0.902%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-03 11:20
GTbets🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 86.37%EV +0.391%E +0.340%K +2.61%G +0.010%7.29I 13.72%NM 13.63%EV -7.39%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%0.7%2026-06-03 09:59
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -7.90%E -1.09%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 10:19
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.54%EV -2.23%E -1.99%K -18.57%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.46%EV -8.54%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-03 11:20
1xBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -10.69%E -1.52%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 11:14
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.08%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 08:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.08%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.08%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 10:20
Neds🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.08%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 10:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -11.08%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 09:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -11.08%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 09:50
Coral🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -11.08%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 10:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -11.08%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 10:20
William Hill🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.72%E -5.30%K -71.50%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.08%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-03 10:49
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.23%E -1.99%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -17.43%E -2.68%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 08:29
PlayUp🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -17.43%E -2.68%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-03 11:10
TAB🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.85%E -4.45%K -53.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -17.43%E -2.68%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-03 11:19
BetAnything🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.19%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -18.06%E -2.80%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-03 11:20
Caesars🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -23.78%E -3.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-03 09:09
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -23.78%E -3.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-03 09:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-06-03 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-06-03 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-06-03 11:10
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-06-03 11:10
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 87.70%8.06I 12.41%NM 12.30%0.9%2026-06-03 11:19
Smarkets1.11I 90.09%NM 88.80%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.20%1.5%2026-06-03 11:20