A Escola das Odds

Aryna Sabalenka v Daria Kasatkina

Início: 2026-05-30 12:25 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Previsão 89.07%1.12odd justa
EV -2.91%
Vantagem -2.67%
Kelly -32.34%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.09

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
86.63%88.97%89.37%91.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.041.071.071.0996.15%93.76%93.46%91.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Daria Kasatkina (Visitante)

Previsão 10.93%9.15odd justa
EV +20.20%
Vantagem +1.84%
Kelly +2.02%
Crescimento +0.408%

pressupondo odds máximas de 11.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
8.64%11.03%10.63%13.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
7.008.799.0011.0014.29%11.38%11.11%9.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
888sport1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -7.36%E -7.08%K -184.10%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +20.20%E +1.84%K +2.02%G +0.408%5.2%2026-05-30 12:20
William Hill1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -7.36%E -7.08%K -184.10%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +20.20%E +1.84%K +2.02%G +0.408%5.2%2026-05-30 12:19
Mr Green (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -7.36%E -7.08%K -184.10%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +20.20%E +1.84%K +2.02%G +0.408%5.2%2026-05-30 12:20
888sport (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -7.36%E -7.08%K -184.10%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +20.20%E +1.84%K +2.02%G +0.408%5.2%2026-05-30 12:20
Coolbet1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV +14.73%E +1.40%K +1.55%G +0.228%3.0%2026-05-30 12:20
Pinnacle1.07I 93.46%NM 90.45%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%10.13I 9.87%NM 9.55%EV +10.69%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.125%3.3%2026-05-30 12:20
Betclic (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 90.11%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.89%EV +6.54%E +0.670%K +0.747%G +0.049%3.7%2026-05-30 12:20
Winamax (DE)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +3.81%E +0.401%K +0.448%G +0.017%4.0%2026-05-30 12:20
Bet Right1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.04%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +3.81%E +0.401%K +0.448%G +0.017%4.9%2026-05-30 12:20
Betr (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -6.47%E -6.16%K -129.46%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV +1.07%E +0.116%K +0.130%G +0.001%6.0%2026-05-30 12:20
NetBet (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -6.47%E -6.16%K -129.46%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV +1.07%E +0.116%K +0.130%G +0.001%6.0%2026-05-30 12:20
Fanatics1.07I 93.46%NM 89.58%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.42%EV +0.528%E +0.057%K +0.064%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 12:19
Codere (IT)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.58%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.42%EV +0.528%E +0.057%K +0.064%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 12:20
Unibet1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 12:20
LeoVegas1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 12:20
Unibet (NL)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 12:20
Unibet (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 12:20
Unibet (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 12:20
Winamax (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 12:20
Grosvenor1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 12:20
Casumo1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 12:20
Bally Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 12:20
ATG (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 12:20
Svenska Spel1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 12:20
betPARX1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 12:20
Hard Rock Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 12:20
PointsBet (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.47%E -6.16%K -129.46%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 12:20
Tipico (DE)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.47%E -6.16%K -129.46%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 12:20
Betway1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.47%E -6.16%K -129.46%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 12:20
Bovada1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -4.39%E -0.502%K -0.566%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 12:20
MyBookie.ag1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV -4.94%E -0.567%K -0.641%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 12:20
DraftKings1.06I 94.34%NM 89.14%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.04%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.86%EV -4.94%E -0.567%K -0.641%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 12:20
BetOnline.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.51%G +0.000%8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -6.68%E -0.783%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 12:20
LowVig.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.51%G +0.000%8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -6.68%E -0.783%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 12:20
GTbets1.09I 91.74%NM 88.66%EV -2.91%E -2.67%K -32.34%G +0.000%8.52I 11.74%NM 11.34%EV -6.90%E -0.810%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-30 12:20
TABtouch1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.12%E -0.838%K -0.950%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 12:20
BetAnything1.07I 93.46%NM 88.76%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%8.45I 11.83%NM 11.24%EV -7.67%E -0.907%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 12:20
Fliff1.06I 94.34%NM 88.85%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.04%G +0.000%8.45I 11.83%NM 11.15%EV -7.67%E -0.907%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 12:20
NordicBet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.72%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.04%G +0.000%8.34I 11.99%NM 11.28%EV -8.87%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 12:20
Betsson1.06I 94.34%NM 88.72%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.04%G +0.000%8.34I 11.99%NM 11.28%EV -8.87%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 12:20
PlayUp1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 12:20
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 12:20
Everygame1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 12:20
Coral1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 12:20
Neds1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 12:20
TAB1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 12:20
LiveScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 12:20
Virgin Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 12:20
PMU (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 12:20
theScore Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.51%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -15.32%E -1.98%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 12:20
BetMGM1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -15.32%E -1.98%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 12:20
Marathon Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.56%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.51%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.44%EV -16.96%E -2.23%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 12:14
BetRivers1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.91%E -2.67%K -32.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -18.05%E -2.41%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 12:10
Caesars1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -23.51%E -3.36%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 12:20
Bet Victor1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -23.51%E -3.36%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 12:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66%0.4%2026-05-30 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66%0.4%2026-05-30 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66%0.4%2026-05-30 12:20
Matchbook1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66%0.4%2026-05-30 12:20
Smarkets1.08I 92.59%NM 91.41%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.59%1.3%2026-05-30 12:20
Novig1.08I 92.59%NM 91.05%10.99I 9.10%NM 8.95%1.7%2026-05-30 12:20