StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Aryna Sabalenka v Daria Kasatkina

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-30 12:25 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

58 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Aryna Sabalenka (Heim)

Prognose 89.07%1.12faire Quote
EV -2.91%
Vorteil -2.67%
Kelly -32.34%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.09

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
86.63%88.97%89.37%91.36%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.041.071.071.0996.15%93.76%93.46%91.74%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Daria Kasatkina (Auswärts)

Prognose 10.93%9.15faire Quote
EV +20.20%
Vorteil +1.84%
Kelly +2.02%
Wachstum +0.408%

bei einer Höchstquote von 11.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
8.64%11.03%10.63%13.37%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
7.008.799.0011.0014.29%11.38%11.11%9.09%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Aryna Sabalenka (Heim): 89.07%; Daria Kasatkina (Auswärts): 10.93%. Für Daria Kasatkina (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 9.15. 13 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 11.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +20.20%.

Wettanbieterquoten (58 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
888sport🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -7.36%E -7.08%K -184.10%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +20.20%E +1.84%K +2.02%G +0.408%5.2%2026-05-30 12:20
William Hill🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -7.36%E -7.08%K -184.10%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +20.20%E +1.84%K +2.02%G +0.408%5.2%2026-05-30 12:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -7.36%E -7.08%K -184.10%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +20.20%E +1.84%K +2.02%G +0.408%5.2%2026-05-30 12:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -7.36%E -7.08%K -184.10%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +20.20%E +1.84%K +2.02%G +0.408%5.2%2026-05-30 12:20
Coolbet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV +14.73%E +1.40%K +1.55%G +0.228%3.0%2026-05-30 12:20
Pinnacle🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.45%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%10.13I 9.87%NM 9.55%EV +10.69%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.125%3.3%2026-05-30 12:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.11%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.89%EV +6.54%E +0.670%K +0.747%G +0.049%3.7%2026-05-30 12:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +3.81%E +0.401%K +0.448%G +0.017%4.0%2026-05-30 12:20
Bet Right🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.04%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +3.81%E +0.401%K +0.448%G +0.017%4.9%2026-05-30 12:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -6.47%E -6.16%K -129.46%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV +1.07%E +0.116%K +0.130%G +0.001%6.0%2026-05-30 12:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -6.47%E -6.16%K -129.46%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV +1.07%E +0.116%K +0.130%G +0.001%6.0%2026-05-30 12:20
Fanatics🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.58%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.42%EV +0.528%E +0.057%K +0.064%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 12:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.58%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.42%EV +0.528%E +0.057%K +0.064%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 12:20
Unibet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 12:20
LeoVegas🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 12:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 12:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 12:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 12:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 12:20
Grosvenor🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 12:20
Casumo🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 12:20
Bally Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 12:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 12:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 12:20
betPARX🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 12:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 12:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.47%E -6.16%K -129.46%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 12:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.47%E -6.16%K -129.46%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 12:20
Betway🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.47%E -6.16%K -129.46%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 12:20
Bovada🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -4.39%E -0.502%K -0.566%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 12:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV -4.94%E -0.567%K -0.641%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 12:20
DraftKings🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.14%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.04%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.86%EV -4.94%E -0.567%K -0.641%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 12:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.51%G +0.000%8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -6.68%E -0.783%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 12:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.51%G +0.000%8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -6.68%E -0.783%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 12:20
GTbets🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.66%EV -2.91%E -2.67%K -32.34%G +0.000%8.52I 11.74%NM 11.34%EV -6.90%E -0.810%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-30 12:20
TABtouch🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.12%E -0.838%K -0.950%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 12:20
BetAnything🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.76%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%8.45I 11.83%NM 11.24%EV -7.67%E -0.907%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 12:20
Fliff🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.85%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.04%G +0.000%8.45I 11.83%NM 11.15%EV -7.67%E -0.907%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 12:20
NordicBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.72%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.04%G +0.000%8.34I 11.99%NM 11.28%EV -8.87%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 12:20
Betsson🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.72%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.04%G +0.000%8.34I 11.99%NM 11.28%EV -8.87%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 12:20
PlayUp🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 12:20
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 12:20
Everygame🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 12:20
Coral🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 12:20
Neds🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 12:20
TAB🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 12:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 12:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 12:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 12:20
theScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.51%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -15.32%E -1.98%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 12:20
BetMGM🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -15.32%E -1.98%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 12:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.56%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.51%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.44%EV -16.96%E -2.23%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 12:14
BetRivers🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.91%E -2.67%K -32.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -18.05%E -2.41%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 12:10
Caesars🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -23.51%E -3.36%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 12:20
Bet Victor🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -23.51%E -3.36%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 12:14
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66%0.4%2026-05-30 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66%0.4%2026-05-30 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66%0.4%2026-05-30 12:20
Matchbook1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66%0.4%2026-05-30 12:20
Smarkets1.08I 92.59%NM 91.41%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.59%1.3%2026-05-30 12:20
Novig1.08I 92.59%NM 91.05%10.99I 9.10%NM 8.95%1.7%2026-05-30 12:20