La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Aryna Sabalenka v Daria Kasatkina
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Predicción 89.07%1.12momio equitativo
EV -2.91%
Ventaja -2.67%
Kelly -32.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.09
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
86.63%88.97%89.37%91.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.041.071.071.0996.15%93.76%93.46%91.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Daria Kasatkina (Visitante)
Predicción 10.93%9.15momio equitativo
EV +20.20%
Ventaja +1.84%
Kelly +2.02%
Crecimiento +0.408%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.64%11.03%10.63%13.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.008.799.0011.0014.29%11.38%11.11%9.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -7.36%E -7.08%K -184.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +20.20%E +1.84%K +2.02%G +0.408% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| William Hill | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -7.36%E -7.08%K -184.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +20.20%E +1.84%K +2.02%G +0.408% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 12:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -7.36%E -7.08%K -184.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +20.20%E +1.84%K +2.02%G +0.408% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -7.36%E -7.08%K -184.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +20.20%E +1.84%K +2.02%G +0.408% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV +14.73%E +1.40%K +1.55%G +0.228% | 3.0% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.45%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 10.13I 9.87%NM 9.55%EV +10.69%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.125% | 3.3% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.11%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.89%EV +6.54%E +0.670%K +0.747%G +0.049% | 3.7% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +3.81%E +0.401%K +0.448%G +0.017% | 4.0% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.04%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +3.81%E +0.401%K +0.448%G +0.017% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -6.47%E -6.16%K -129.46%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV +1.07%E +0.116%K +0.130%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -6.47%E -6.16%K -129.46%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV +1.07%E +0.116%K +0.130%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.58%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.42%EV +0.528%E +0.057%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 12:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.58%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.42%EV +0.528%E +0.057%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Unibet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Casumo | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| betPARX | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.47%E -6.16%K -129.46%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.47%E -6.16%K -129.46%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Betway | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.47%E -6.16%K -129.46%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Bovada | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -4.39%E -0.502%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV -4.94%E -0.567%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.14%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.04%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.86%EV -4.94%E -0.567%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.51%G +0.000% | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -6.68%E -0.783%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.51%G +0.000% | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -6.68%E -0.783%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| GTbets | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.66%EV -2.91%E -2.67%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 8.52I 11.74%NM 11.34%EV -6.90%E -0.810%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.12%E -0.838%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| BetAnything | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.76%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 8.45I 11.83%NM 11.24%EV -7.67%E -0.907%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Fliff | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.85%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.04%G +0.000% | 8.45I 11.83%NM 11.15%EV -7.67%E -0.907%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.72%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.04%G +0.000% | 8.34I 11.99%NM 11.28%EV -8.87%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Betsson | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.72%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.04%G +0.000% | 8.34I 11.99%NM 11.28%EV -8.87%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Everygame | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Coral | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Neds | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| TAB | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.04%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.04%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.04%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.04%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.51%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -15.32%E -1.98%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -15.32%E -1.98%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.56%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.51%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.44%EV -16.96%E -2.23%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 12:14 |
| BetRivers | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.91%E -2.67%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -18.05%E -2.41%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 12:10 |
| Caesars | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.51%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -23.51%E -3.36%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -23.51%E -3.36%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-30 12:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66% | 0.4% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66% | 0.4% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66% | 0.4% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66% | 0.4% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.41% | 11.49I 8.70%NM 8.59% | 1.3% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Novig | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.05% | 10.99I 9.10%NM 8.95% | 1.7% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |