La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Aryna Sabalenka v Daria Kasatkina
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Aryna Sabalenka (Casa)
Previsione 89.07%1.12quota equa
EV -2.91%
Vantaggio -2.67%
Kelly -32.34%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.09
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
86.63%88.97%89.37%91.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.041.071.071.0996.15%93.76%93.46%91.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Daria Kasatkina (Trasferta)
Previsione 10.93%9.15quota equa
EV +20.20%
Vantaggio +1.84%
Kelly +2.02%
Crescita +0.408%
ipotizzando la quota massima 11.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
8.64%11.03%10.63%13.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
7.008.799.0011.0014.29%11.38%11.11%9.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -7.36%E -7.08%K -184.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +20.20%E +1.84%K +2.02%G +0.408% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| William Hill | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -7.36%E -7.08%K -184.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +20.20%E +1.84%K +2.02%G +0.408% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 12:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -7.36%E -7.08%K -184.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +20.20%E +1.84%K +2.02%G +0.408% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -7.36%E -7.08%K -184.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +20.20%E +1.84%K +2.02%G +0.408% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV +14.73%E +1.40%K +1.55%G +0.228% | 3.0% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.45%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 10.13I 9.87%NM 9.55%EV +10.69%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.125% | 3.3% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.11%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.89%EV +6.54%E +0.670%K +0.747%G +0.049% | 3.7% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +3.81%E +0.401%K +0.448%G +0.017% | 4.0% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.04%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +3.81%E +0.401%K +0.448%G +0.017% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -6.47%E -6.16%K -129.46%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV +1.07%E +0.116%K +0.130%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -6.47%E -6.16%K -129.46%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV +1.07%E +0.116%K +0.130%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.58%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.42%EV +0.528%E +0.057%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 12:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.58%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.42%EV +0.528%E +0.057%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Unibet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Casumo | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| betPARX | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.47%E -6.16%K -129.46%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.47%E -6.16%K -129.46%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Betway | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.47%E -6.16%K -129.46%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -1.66%E -0.184%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Bovada | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -4.39%E -0.502%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV -4.94%E -0.567%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.14%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.04%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.86%EV -4.94%E -0.567%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.51%G +0.000% | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -6.68%E -0.783%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.51%G +0.000% | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -6.68%E -0.783%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| GTbets | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.66%EV -2.91%E -2.67%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 8.52I 11.74%NM 11.34%EV -6.90%E -0.810%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.12%E -0.838%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| BetAnything | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.76%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 8.45I 11.83%NM 11.24%EV -7.67%E -0.907%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Fliff | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.85%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.04%G +0.000% | 8.45I 11.83%NM 11.15%EV -7.67%E -0.907%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.72%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.04%G +0.000% | 8.34I 11.99%NM 11.28%EV -8.87%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Betsson | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.72%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.04%G +0.000% | 8.34I 11.99%NM 11.28%EV -8.87%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Everygame | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Coral | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Neds | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| TAB | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.04%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.04%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.04%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.04%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.58%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.51%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -15.32%E -1.98%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -15.32%E -1.98%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.56%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.51%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.44%EV -16.96%E -2.23%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 12:14 |
| BetRivers | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.91%E -2.67%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -18.05%E -2.41%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 12:10 |
| Caesars | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.51%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -23.51%E -3.36%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -67.03%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -23.51%E -3.36%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-30 12:14 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66% | 0.4% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66% | 0.4% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66% | 0.4% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66% | 0.4% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.41% | 11.49I 8.70%NM 8.59% | 1.3% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Novig | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.05% | 10.99I 9.10%NM 8.95% | 1.7% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |