Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yulia Putintseva v Liudmila Samsonova

Kickoff: 2026-08-14 20:52 UTC

Final: Yulia Putintseva 1–2 Liudmila Samsonova

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yulia Putintseva (Local)

Prediction 30.12%3.32fair odd
EV +2.41%
Edge +0.710%
Kelly +1.01%
Growth +0.024%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.81%30.20%30.09%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.173.203.4034.72%31.51%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Liudmila Samsonova (Visit)

Prediction 69.88%1.43fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -5.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.74%69.80%69.91%72.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.341.351.4076.92%74.44%74.07%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yulia Putintseva (Local): 30.12%; Liudmila Samsonova (Visit): 69.88%. For Yulia Putintseva (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.32. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.41%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Winamax (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV +2.41%E +0.710%K +1.01%G +0.024%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-14 06:10
BetAnything🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +2.41%E +0.710%K +1.01%G +0.024%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 20:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV +2.41%E +0.710%K +1.01%G +0.024%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -8.46%E -6.46%K -27.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-12 14:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 11:54
BetRivers🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 14:35
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 14:35
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 14:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 11:54
LiveScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 11:54
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 14:34
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 14:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 14:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 14:35
Bally Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 14:33
betPARX🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 14:35
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 11:54
Winamax (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.599%E -0.181%K -0.260%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.36%E -4.75%K -18.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 06:09
Marathon Bet🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -1.20%E -0.366%K -0.527%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 20:38
BetOnline.ag🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -1.80%E -0.553%K -0.798%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-13 14:10
LowVig.ag🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -1.80%E -0.553%K -0.798%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-13 14:10
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.10%E -0.648%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 19:44
PMU (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -2.10%E -0.648%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -9.16%E -7.04%K -30.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-12 14:35
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 20:48
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 18:55
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:30
ReBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 19:45
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 20:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 13:34
Unibet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 10:25
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 06:39
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.36%E -4.75%K -18.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 20:05
1xBet🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -3.91%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 20:49
Coolbet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.21%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 20:49
FanDuel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.12%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 20:49
LeoVegas🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.12%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 20:49
GTbets🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -5.72%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -4.27%E -3.11%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 14:35
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 10:49
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 14:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 15:00
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 15:00
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.36%E -4.75%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 20:50
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.36%E -4.75%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 20:50
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 18:43
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.13%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 20:50
Fliff🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -8.13%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -8.46%E -6.46%K -27.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 20:49
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.57%E -2.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 20:49
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 20:50
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 20:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 20:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 18:24
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 20:50
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 20:40
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 20:49
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 20:49
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 05:54
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 05:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -11.14%E -3.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.57%E -2.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 15:00
Neds🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -11.14%E -3.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.57%E -2.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 15:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -11.14%E -3.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 20:49
DraftKings🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -11.44%E -3.89%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -2.17%E -1.55%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 20:49
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -13.25%E -4.60%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 06:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%0.4%2026-08-14 20:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-08-14 20:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-08-14 20:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%1.3%2026-08-14 20:50
ProphetX3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%2.2%2026-08-14 20:50
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%4.7%2026-08-14 20:49