Idioma:Español
Yulia Putintseva v Liudmila Samsonova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Yulia Putintseva (Local)
Predicción 30.12%3.32momio equitativo
EV +2.41%
Ventaja +0.710%
Kelly +1.01%
Crecimiento +0.024%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.81%30.20%30.09%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.883.173.203.4034.72%31.51%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Liudmila Samsonova (Visitante)
Predicción 69.88%1.43momio equitativo
EV -2.17%
Ventaja -1.55%
Kelly -5.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.74%69.80%69.91%72.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.301.341.351.4076.92%74.44%74.07%71.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Yulia Putintseva (Local): 30.12%; Liudmila Samsonova (Visitante): 69.88%. Para Yulia Putintseva (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.32. 17 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.40, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.41%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV +2.41%E +0.710%K +1.01%G +0.024% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-14 06:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +2.41%E +0.710%K +1.01%G +0.024% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV +2.41%E +0.710%K +1.01%G +0.024% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -8.46%E -6.46%K -27.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-12 14:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 14:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 14:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 14:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 14:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 14:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 14:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 14:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 14:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 14:33 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 14:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.599%E -0.181%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.36%E -4.75%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 06:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -1.20%E -0.366%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 20:38 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -1.80%E -0.553%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-13 14:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -1.80%E -0.553%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-13 14:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.10%E -0.648%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 19:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -2.10%E -0.648%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -9.16%E -7.04%K -30.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-12 14:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 20:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 17:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 19:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 20:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 13:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 10:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 06:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.36%E -4.75%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 20:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -3.91%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 20:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.21%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 20:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.12%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 20:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.12%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 20:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -5.72%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -4.27%E -3.11%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-12 14:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 10:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-12 15:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-12 15:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.36%E -4.75%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 20:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.36%E -4.75%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 20:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 18:43 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.13%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 20:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -8.13%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -8.46%E -6.46%K -27.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-14 20:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.57%E -2.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 20:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 20:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 20:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 20:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 20:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 20:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 20:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 05:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 05:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -11.14%E -3.78%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.57%E -2.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-12 15:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -11.14%E -3.78%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.57%E -2.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-12 15:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -11.14%E -3.78%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-14 20:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -11.44%E -3.89%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -2.17%E -1.55%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 20:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -13.25%E -4.60%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-14 06:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53% | 1.3% | 2026-08-14 20:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36% | 2.2% | 2026-08-14 20:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 20:49 |