Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Yulia Putintseva v Liudmila Samsonova

Início: 2026-08-14 20:52 UTC

Final: Yulia Putintseva 1–2 Liudmila Samsonova

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Yulia Putintseva (Local)

Previsão 30.12%3.32odd justa
EV +2.41%
Vantagem +0.710%
Kelly +1.01%
Crescimento +0.024%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.81%30.20%30.09%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.883.173.203.4034.72%31.51%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Liudmila Samsonova (Visitante)

Previsão 69.88%1.43odd justa
EV -2.17%
Vantagem -1.55%
Kelly -5.43%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.74%69.80%69.91%72.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.301.341.351.4076.92%74.44%74.07%71.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Yulia Putintseva (Local): 30.12%; Liudmila Samsonova (Visitante): 69.88%. Para Yulia Putintseva (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.32. 17 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.40, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.41%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV +2.41%E +0.710%K +1.01%G +0.024%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-14 06:10
BetAnything🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +2.41%E +0.710%K +1.01%G +0.024%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 20:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV +2.41%E +0.710%K +1.01%G +0.024%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -8.46%E -6.46%K -27.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-12 14:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 11:54
BetRivers🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 14:35
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 14:35
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 14:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 11:54
LiveScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 11:54
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 14:34
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 14:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 14:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 14:35
Bally Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 14:33
betPARX🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 14:35
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 11:54
Winamax (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.599%E -0.181%K -0.260%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.36%E -4.75%K -18.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 06:09
Marathon Bet🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -1.20%E -0.366%K -0.527%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 20:38
BetOnline.ag🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -1.80%E -0.553%K -0.798%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-13 14:10
LowVig.ag🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -1.80%E -0.553%K -0.798%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-13 14:10
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.10%E -0.648%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 19:44
PMU (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -2.10%E -0.648%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -9.16%E -7.04%K -30.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-12 14:35
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 20:48
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 18:55
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:30
ReBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 19:45
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 20:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 13:34
Unibet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 10:25
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 06:39
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.36%E -4.75%K -18.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 20:05
1xBet🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -3.91%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 20:49
Coolbet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.21%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 20:49
FanDuel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.12%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 20:49
LeoVegas🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.12%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 20:49
GTbets🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -5.72%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -4.27%E -3.11%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 14:35
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 10:49
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 14:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 15:00
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 15:00
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.36%E -4.75%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 20:50
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.36%E -4.75%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 20:50
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 18:43
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.13%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 20:50
Fliff🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -8.13%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -8.46%E -6.46%K -27.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 20:49
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.57%E -2.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 20:49
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 20:50
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 20:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 20:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 18:24
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 20:50
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 20:40
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 20:49
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 20:49
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 05:54
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 05:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -11.14%E -3.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.57%E -2.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 15:00
Neds🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -11.14%E -3.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.57%E -2.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 15:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -11.14%E -3.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 20:49
DraftKings🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -11.44%E -3.89%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -2.17%E -1.55%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 20:49
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -13.25%E -4.60%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 06:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%0.4%2026-08-14 20:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-08-14 20:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-08-14 20:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%1.3%2026-08-14 20:50
ProphetX◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%2.2%2026-08-14 20:50
Matchbook◎3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%4.7%2026-08-14 20:49