Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Yulia Putintseva v Liudmila Samsonova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-14 20:52 UTC

Score final : Yulia Putintseva 1–2 Liudmila Samsonova

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Yulia Putintseva (Local)

Prévision 30.12%3.32cote équitable
EV +2.41%
Avantage +0.710%
Kelly +1.01%
Croissance +0.024%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.81%30.20%30.09%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.173.203.4034.72%31.51%31.25%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Liudmila Samsonova (Visiteur)

Prévision 69.88%1.43cote équitable
EV -2.17%
Avantage -1.55%
Kelly -5.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.74%69.80%69.91%72.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.301.341.351.4076.92%74.44%74.07%71.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Yulia Putintseva (Local) : 30.12% ; Liudmila Samsonova (Visiteur) : 69.88%. Pour Yulia Putintseva (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.32. 17 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.40, soit une espérance positive de +2.41%.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV +2.41%E +0.710%K +1.01%G +0.024%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-14 06:10
BetAnything🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +2.41%E +0.710%K +1.01%G +0.024%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 20:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV +2.41%E +0.710%K +1.01%G +0.024%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -8.46%E -6.46%K -27.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-12 14:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 11:54
BetRivers🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 14:35
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 14:35
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 14:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 11:54
LiveScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 11:54
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 14:34
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 14:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 14:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 14:35
Bally Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 14:33
betPARX🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 14:35
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.907%E +0.271%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 11:54
Winamax (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.599%E -0.181%K -0.260%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.36%E -4.75%K -18.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 06:09
Marathon Bet🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -1.20%E -0.366%K -0.527%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 20:38
BetOnline.ag🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -1.80%E -0.553%K -0.798%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-13 14:10
LowVig.ag🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -1.80%E -0.553%K -0.798%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-13 14:10
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.10%E -0.648%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 19:44
PMU (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -2.10%E -0.648%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -9.16%E -7.04%K -30.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-12 14:35
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 20:48
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 18:55
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:30
ReBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 19:45
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 20:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 13:34
Unibet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 10:25
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 06:39
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.36%E -4.75%K -18.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 20:05
1xBet🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -3.91%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 20:49
Coolbet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.21%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 20:49
FanDuel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.12%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 20:49
LeoVegas🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.12%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 20:49
GTbets🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -5.72%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -4.27%E -3.11%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 14:35
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 10:49
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 14:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 15:00
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 15:00
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.36%E -4.75%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 20:50
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.36%E -4.75%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 20:50
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 18:43
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.13%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 20:50
Fliff🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -8.13%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -8.46%E -6.46%K -27.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 20:49
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.57%E -2.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 20:49
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 20:50
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 20:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 20:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 18:24
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 20:50
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 20:40
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 20:49
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.66%E -4.20%K -16.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 20:49
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 05:54
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 05:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -11.14%E -3.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.57%E -2.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 15:00
Neds🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -11.14%E -3.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.57%E -2.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 15:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -11.14%E -3.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 20:49
DraftKings🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -11.44%E -3.89%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -2.17%E -1.55%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 20:49
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -13.25%E -4.60%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 06:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%0.4%2026-08-14 20:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-08-14 20:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-08-14 20:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%1.3%2026-08-14 20:50
ProphetX◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%2.2%2026-08-14 20:50
Matchbook◎3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%4.7%2026-08-14 20:49