Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.50
assuming max odds 1.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tereza Valentova (Local): 24.22%; Elina Svitolina (Visit): 75.78%. For Tereza Valentova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.13. 23 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.00%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 01:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 01:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 01:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 01:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 01:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 01:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 01:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 01:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 01:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 01:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 01:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 01:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 01:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 01:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 01:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV +7.79%E +1.75%K +2.26%G +0.176% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 01:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +4.16%E +0.967%K +1.26%G +0.052% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -6.79%E -5.52%K -29.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-17 01:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV +4.16%E +0.967%K +1.26%G +0.052% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -10.58%E -8.97%K -58.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-17 01:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +2.95%E +0.693%K +0.906%G +0.027% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -6.04%E -4.87%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-17 01:33 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.95%E +0.693%K +0.906%G +0.027% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.55%E -6.19%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 01:33 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +1.73%E +0.413%K +0.542%G +0.009% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -4.52%E -3.59%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-17 01:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.73%E +0.413%K +0.542%G +0.009% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.55%E -6.19%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 01:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.48%EV +0.282%E +0.068%K +0.090%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.52%EV -3.76%E -2.96%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-17 00:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.687%E -0.168%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.52%E -3.59%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-17 01:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.687%E -0.168%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-17 01:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.88%EV -1.17%E -0.287%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.12%EV -3.00%E -2.35%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-17 01:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60%EV -1.17%E -0.287%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.40%EV -4.52%E -3.59%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-17 01:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60%EV -1.17%E -0.287%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.40%EV -4.52%E -3.59%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-17 01:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.11%E -0.777%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 01:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.11%E -0.777%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 01:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.11%E -0.777%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 00:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.11%E -0.777%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 01:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.11%E -0.777%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 01:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.11%E -0.777%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 01:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.11%E -0.777%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.55%E -6.19%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 01:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.11%E -0.777%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.55%E -6.19%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 01:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.32%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.04%E -4.87%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 01:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.32%EV -5.05%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.68%EV -4.52%E -3.59%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-17 00:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 01:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.76%E -2.96%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 00:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 01:42 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 01:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 01:42 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 01:42 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 01:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.55%E -6.19%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-17 01:43 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.55%E -6.19%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-17 01:43 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.55%E -6.19%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-17 01:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.38%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.00%E -2.35%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 01:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.38%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 00:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.38%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 00:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.86%EV -11.10%E -3.03%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.14%EV -3.00%E -2.35%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 01:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -11.59%E -3.17%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -3.76%E -2.96%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-17 01:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -11.59%E -3.17%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -3.76%E -2.96%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-17 01:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.25%E -1.74%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 01:42 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.00%E -2.35%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 01:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.52%E -3.59%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 01:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-17 01:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -15.22%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.00%E -2.35%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -15.22%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.00%E -2.35%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 00:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -15.22%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -3.76%E -2.96%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-17 01:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -16.43%E -4.76%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-17 01:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -20.07%E -6.08%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -1.49%E -1.15%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-17 01:44 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-08-17 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-08-17 01:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-17 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-17 01:40 |
| Novig◎ | 4.44I 22.52%NM 22.11% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.89% | 1.9% | 2026-08-17 01:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45% | 2.0% | 2026-08-17 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90% | 3.0% | 2026-08-17 01:40 |