Idioma:Español
Tereza Valentova v Elina Svitolina
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Tereza Valentova (Local)
Predicción 24.22%4.13momio equitativo
EV +9.00%
Ventaja +2.00%
Kelly +2.57%
Crecimiento +0.232%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.05%24.15%23.81%28.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.304.024.004.5030.30%24.87%25.00%22.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Elina Svitolina (Visitante)
Predicción 75.78%1.32momio equitativo
EV -1.49%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -4.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.74%75.85%76.19%78.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.181.241.251.3084.75%80.71%80.00%76.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Tereza Valentova (Local): 24.22%; Elina Svitolina (Visitante): 75.78%. Para Tereza Valentova (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.13. 23 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +9.00%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 01:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 01:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 01:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 01:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 01:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 01:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 01:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 01:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 01:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 01:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 01:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 01:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 01:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 01:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 01:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV +7.79%E +1.75%K +2.26%G +0.176% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 01:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +4.16%E +0.967%K +1.26%G +0.052% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -6.79%E -5.52%K -29.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-17 01:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV +4.16%E +0.967%K +1.26%G +0.052% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -10.58%E -8.97%K -58.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-17 01:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +2.95%E +0.693%K +0.906%G +0.027% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -6.04%E -4.87%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-17 01:33 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.95%E +0.693%K +0.906%G +0.027% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.55%E -6.19%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 01:33 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +1.73%E +0.413%K +0.542%G +0.009% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -4.52%E -3.59%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-17 01:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.73%E +0.413%K +0.542%G +0.009% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.55%E -6.19%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 01:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.48%EV +0.282%E +0.068%K +0.090%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.52%EV -3.76%E -2.96%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-17 00:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.687%E -0.168%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.52%E -3.59%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-17 01:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.687%E -0.168%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-17 01:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.88%EV -1.17%E -0.287%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.12%EV -3.00%E -2.35%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-17 01:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60%EV -1.17%E -0.287%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.40%EV -4.52%E -3.59%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-17 01:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60%EV -1.17%E -0.287%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.40%EV -4.52%E -3.59%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-17 01:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.11%E -0.777%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 01:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.11%E -0.777%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 01:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.11%E -0.777%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 00:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.11%E -0.777%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 01:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.11%E -0.777%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 01:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.11%E -0.777%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 01:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.11%E -0.777%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.55%E -6.19%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 01:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.11%E -0.777%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.55%E -6.19%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 01:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.32%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.04%E -4.87%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 01:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.32%EV -5.05%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.68%EV -4.52%E -3.59%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-17 00:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 01:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.76%E -2.96%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 00:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 01:42 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 01:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 01:42 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 01:42 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 01:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.55%E -6.19%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-17 01:43 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.55%E -6.19%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-17 01:43 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.55%E -6.19%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-17 01:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.38%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.00%E -2.35%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 01:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.38%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 00:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.38%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 00:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.86%EV -11.10%E -3.03%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.14%EV -3.00%E -2.35%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 01:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -11.59%E -3.17%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -3.76%E -2.96%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-17 01:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -11.59%E -3.17%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -3.76%E -2.96%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-17 01:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.25%E -1.74%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 01:42 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.00%E -2.35%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 01:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.52%E -3.59%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 01:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-17 01:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -15.22%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.00%E -2.35%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -15.22%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.00%E -2.35%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 00:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -15.22%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -3.76%E -2.96%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-17 01:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -16.43%E -4.76%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-17 01:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -20.07%E -6.08%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -1.49%E -1.15%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-17 01:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-08-17 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-08-17 01:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-17 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-17 01:40 |
| Novig◎ | 4.44I 22.52%NM 22.11% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.89% | 1.9% | 2026-08-17 01:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45% | 2.0% | 2026-08-17 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90% | 3.0% | 2026-08-17 01:40 |