Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tereza Valentova v Elina Svitolina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-17 01:45 UTC

Score final : Tereza Valentova 1–2 Elina Svitolina

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tereza Valentova (Local)

Prévision 24.22%4.13cote équitable
EV +9.00%
Avantage +2.00%
Kelly +2.57%
Croissance +0.232%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.05%24.15%23.81%28.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.304.024.004.5030.30%24.87%25.00%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Elina Svitolina (Visiteur)

Prévision 75.78%1.32cote équitable
EV -1.49%
Avantage -1.15%
Kelly -4.96%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.74%75.85%76.19%78.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.181.241.251.3084.75%80.71%80.00%76.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Tereza Valentova (Local) : 24.22% ; Elina Svitolina (Visiteur) : 75.78%. Pour Tereza Valentova (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.13. 23 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.50, soit une espérance positive de +9.00%.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 01:29
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 01:29
Unibet (NL)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 01:29
Casumo🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 01:29
LiveScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 01:29
Unibet (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 01:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 01:29
Grosvenor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 01:29
TABtouch🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 01:30
BetRivers🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 01:29
Svenska Spel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 01:29
ATG (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 01:30
betPARX🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 01:29
Bally Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 01:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 01:29
theScore Bet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV +7.79%E +1.75%K +2.26%G +0.176%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 01:29
FanDuel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +4.16%E +0.967%K +1.26%G +0.052%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -6.79%E -5.52%K -29.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 01:34
PMU (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV +4.16%E +0.967%K +1.26%G +0.052%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -10.58%E -8.97%K -58.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 01:29
Bovada🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +2.95%E +0.693%K +0.906%G +0.027%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -6.04%E -4.87%K -25.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 01:33
Marathon Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.95%E +0.693%K +0.906%G +0.027%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.55%E -6.19%K -34.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 01:33
Coolbet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +1.73%E +0.413%K +0.542%G +0.009%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -4.52%E -3.59%K -17.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-17 01:40
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.73%E +0.413%K +0.542%G +0.009%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.55%E -6.19%K -34.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 01:34
1xBet🎯4.14I 24.15%NM 23.48%EV +0.282%E +0.068%K +0.090%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.52%EV -3.76%E -2.96%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-17 00:54
Winamax (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.687%E -0.168%K -0.222%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.52%E -3.59%K -17.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-17 01:35
Winamax (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.687%E -0.168%K -0.222%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-17 01:35
Pinnacle🎯4.08I 24.51%NM 23.88%EV -1.17%E -0.287%K -0.380%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.12%EV -3.00%E -2.35%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-17 01:10
LowVig.ag🎯4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60%EV -1.17%E -0.287%K -0.380%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.40%EV -4.52%E -3.59%K -17.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-17 01:34
BetOnline.ag🎯4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60%EV -1.17%E -0.287%K -0.380%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.40%EV -4.52%E -3.59%K -17.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-17 01:35
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.11%E -0.777%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 01:34
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.11%E -0.777%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 01:05
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.11%E -0.777%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 00:09
ReBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.11%E -0.777%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 01:29
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.11%E -0.777%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 01:39
BetUS🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.11%E -0.777%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 01:30
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.11%E -0.777%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.55%E -6.19%K -34.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 01:44
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.11%E -0.777%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.55%E -6.19%K -34.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 01:44
Betr (AU)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.32%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.04%E -4.87%K -25.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 01:40
BetAnything🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.32%EV -5.05%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.68%EV -4.52%E -3.59%K -17.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-17 00:10
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 01:34
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.76%E -2.96%K -13.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 00:10
888sport🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 01:42
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 01:44
888sport (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 01:42
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 01:42
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 01:44
betano_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.55%E -6.19%K -34.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-17 01:43
Bet Victor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.55%E -6.19%K -34.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-17 01:43
Fliff🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.55%E -6.19%K -34.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-17 01:39
Unibet (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.38%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.00%E -2.35%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 01:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.38%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 00:10
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.38%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 00:10
DraftKings🎯3.67I 27.25%NM 25.86%EV -11.10%E -3.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.14%EV -3.00%E -2.35%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 01:44
NordicBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -11.59%E -3.17%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -3.76%E -2.96%K -13.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 01:34
Betsson🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -11.59%E -3.17%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -3.76%E -2.96%K -13.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 01:34
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.25%E -1.74%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 01:42
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.00%E -2.35%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 01:45
Caesars🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.52%E -3.59%K -17.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 01:29
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-17 01:44
Neds🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -15.22%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.00%E -2.35%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -15.22%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.00%E -2.35%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 00:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -15.22%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -3.76%E -2.96%K -13.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-17 01:44
Betclic (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -16.43%E -4.76%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-17 01:44
TAB🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -20.07%E -6.08%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -1.49%E -1.15%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-17 01:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-08-17 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-08-17 01:40
Matchbook◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-08-17 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-08-17 01:40
Novig◎4.44I 22.52%NM 22.11%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.89%1.9%2026-08-17 01:40
ProphetX◎4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45%2.0%2026-08-17 01:40
Smarkets◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%3.0%2026-08-17 01:40