Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tereza Valentova v Elina Svitolina

Início: 2026-08-17 01:45 UTC

Final: Tereza Valentova 1–2 Elina Svitolina

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tereza Valentova (Local)

Previsão 24.22%4.13odd justa
EV +9.00%
Vantagem +2.00%
Kelly +2.57%
Crescimento +0.232%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.05%24.15%23.81%28.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.304.024.004.5030.30%24.87%25.00%22.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Elina Svitolina (Visitante)

Previsão 75.78%1.32odd justa
EV -1.49%
Vantagem -1.15%
Kelly -4.96%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
71.74%75.85%76.19%78.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.181.241.251.3084.75%80.71%80.00%76.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Tereza Valentova (Local): 24.22%; Elina Svitolina (Visitante): 75.78%. Para Tereza Valentova (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.13. 23 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +9.00%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 01:29
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 01:29
Unibet (NL)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 01:29
Casumo🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 01:29
LiveScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 01:29
Unibet (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 01:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 01:29
Grosvenor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 01:29
TABtouch🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 01:30
BetRivers🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 01:29
Svenska Spel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 01:29
ATG (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 01:30
betPARX🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 01:29
Bally Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 01:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.00%E +2.00%K +2.57%G +0.232%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 01:29
theScore Bet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV +7.79%E +1.75%K +2.26%G +0.176%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -9.07%E -7.56%K -45.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 01:29
FanDuel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +4.16%E +0.967%K +1.26%G +0.052%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -6.79%E -5.52%K -29.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 01:34
PMU (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV +4.16%E +0.967%K +1.26%G +0.052%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -10.58%E -8.97%K -58.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 01:29
Bovada🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +2.95%E +0.693%K +0.906%G +0.027%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -6.04%E -4.87%K -25.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 01:33
Marathon Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.95%E +0.693%K +0.906%G +0.027%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.55%E -6.19%K -34.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 01:33
Coolbet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +1.73%E +0.413%K +0.542%G +0.009%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -4.52%E -3.59%K -17.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-17 01:40
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.73%E +0.413%K +0.542%G +0.009%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.55%E -6.19%K -34.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 01:34
1xBet🎯4.14I 24.15%NM 23.48%EV +0.282%E +0.068%K +0.090%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.52%EV -3.76%E -2.96%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-17 00:54
Winamax (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.687%E -0.168%K -0.222%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.52%E -3.59%K -17.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-17 01:35
Winamax (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.687%E -0.168%K -0.222%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-17 01:35
Pinnacle🎯4.08I 24.51%NM 23.88%EV -1.17%E -0.287%K -0.380%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.12%EV -3.00%E -2.35%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-17 01:10
LowVig.ag🎯4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60%EV -1.17%E -0.287%K -0.380%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.40%EV -4.52%E -3.59%K -17.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-17 01:34
BetOnline.ag🎯4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60%EV -1.17%E -0.287%K -0.380%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.40%EV -4.52%E -3.59%K -17.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-17 01:35
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.11%E -0.777%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 01:34
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.11%E -0.777%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 01:05
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.11%E -0.777%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 00:09
ReBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.11%E -0.777%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 01:29
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.11%E -0.777%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 01:39
BetUS🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.11%E -0.777%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 01:30
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.11%E -0.777%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.55%E -6.19%K -34.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 01:44
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.11%E -0.777%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.55%E -6.19%K -34.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 01:44
Betr (AU)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.32%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.04%E -4.87%K -25.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 01:40
BetAnything🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.32%EV -5.05%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.68%EV -4.52%E -3.59%K -17.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-17 00:10
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 01:34
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.76%E -2.96%K -13.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 00:10
888sport🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 01:42
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 01:44
888sport (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 01:42
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 01:42
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 01:44
betano_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.55%E -6.19%K -34.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-17 01:43
Bet Victor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.55%E -6.19%K -34.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-17 01:43
Fliff🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.55%E -6.19%K -34.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-17 01:39
Unibet (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.38%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.00%E -2.35%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 01:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.38%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 00:10
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.38%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 00:10
DraftKings🎯3.67I 27.25%NM 25.86%EV -11.10%E -3.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.14%EV -3.00%E -2.35%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 01:44
NordicBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -11.59%E -3.17%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -3.76%E -2.96%K -13.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 01:34
Betsson🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -11.59%E -3.17%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -3.76%E -2.96%K -13.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 01:34
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.25%E -1.74%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 01:42
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.00%E -2.35%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 01:45
Caesars🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.52%E -3.59%K -17.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 01:29
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-17 01:44
Neds🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -15.22%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.00%E -2.35%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -15.22%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.00%E -2.35%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 00:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -15.22%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -3.76%E -2.96%K -13.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-17 01:44
Betclic (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -16.43%E -4.76%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -5.28%E -4.22%K -21.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-17 01:44
TAB🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -20.07%E -6.08%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -1.49%E -1.15%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-17 01:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-08-17 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-08-17 01:40
Matchbook◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-08-17 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-08-17 01:40
Novig◎4.44I 22.52%NM 22.11%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.89%1.9%2026-08-17 01:40
ProphetX◎4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45%2.0%2026-08-17 01:40
Smarkets◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%3.0%2026-08-17 01:40