语言:简体中文
Sorana Cirstea v Jessica Pegula
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Sorana Cirstea (主队)
预测 26.35%3.80公平赔率
EV +3.54%
优势 +0.902%
Kelly +1.21%
增长率 +0.043%
假设最高赔率为 3.93
博彩公司预测分布
24.28%26.46%26.12%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.533.503.9330.77%28.30%28.57%25.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
Jessica Pegula (客队)
预测 73.65%1.36公平赔率
EV -2.04%
优势 -1.54%
Kelly -6.19%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.33
博彩公司预测分布
71.43%73.54%73.88%75.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.251.301.301.3380.00%77.06%76.92%75.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Sorana Cirstea (主队)：26.35%；Jessica Pegula (客队)：73.65%。 对于“Sorana Cirstea (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.80。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.93，对应+3.54%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.28%EV +3.54%E +0.902%K +1.21%G +0.043% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.72%EV -7.20%E -5.71%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 16:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.89I 25.71%NM 25.05%EV +2.49%E +0.640%K +0.862%G +0.021% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.95%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-19 15:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -1.20%E -0.320%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -3.51%E -2.68%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-19 13:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.20%E -0.320%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-19 14:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.20%E -0.320%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 15:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.20%E -0.320%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 15:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.20%E -0.320%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.93%E -6.35%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 15:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.20%E -0.320%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.93%E -6.35%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.52%E -0.680%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.52%E -0.680%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-19 16:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.52%E -0.680%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.93%E -6.35%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -3.04%E -0.827%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -3.04%E -0.827%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%EV -3.83%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%EV -2.04%E -1.54%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-19 15:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.83%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.83%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.83%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 16:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.83%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.83%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -3.83%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 16:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.61%EV -4.10%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.39%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-19 15:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -4.62%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 16:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 16:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.93%E -6.35%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-19 15:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.58%EV -5.41%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.42%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 14:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.47%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.47%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 12:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 12:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 12:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 12:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 11:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 11:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 15:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.04%E -1.54%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:33 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.51%E -2.68%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.74%E -3.50%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.74%E -3.50%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.05%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 15:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -14.37%E -4.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-19 10:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.37%E -4.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 15:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.37%E -4.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 15:29 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 14:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 14:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 1.3% | 2026-08-19 15:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 1.9% | 2026-08-19 16:10 |
| Novig◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 1.9% | 2026-08-19 16:40 |