Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Sorana Cirstea v Jessica Pegula

Inizio: 2026-08-19 16:58 UTC

Finale: Sorana Cirstea 1–2 Jessica Pegula

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Sorana Cirstea (Casa)

Previsione 26.35%3.80quota equa
EV +3.54%
Vantaggio +0.902%
Kelly +1.21%
Crescita +0.043%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.93

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.28%26.46%26.12%28.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.533.503.9330.77%28.30%28.57%25.45%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Jessica Pegula (Trasferta)

Previsione 73.65%1.36quota equa
EV -2.04%
Vantaggio -1.54%
Kelly -6.19%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.43%73.54%73.88%75.72%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.301.301.3380.00%77.06%76.92%75.19%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Sorana Cirstea (Casa): 26.35%; Jessica Pegula (Trasferta): 73.65%. Per Sorana Cirstea (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.80. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.93, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.54%.

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Betclic (FR)🎯3.93I 25.45%NM 24.28%EV +3.54%E +0.902%K +1.21%G +0.043%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.72%EV -7.20%E -5.71%K -27.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 16:18
Pinnacle🎯3.89I 25.71%NM 25.05%EV +2.49%E +0.640%K +0.862%G +0.021%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.95%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-19 15:30
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -1.20%E -0.320%K -0.436%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -3.51%E -2.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-19 13:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.20%E -0.320%K -0.436%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-19 14:14
FanDuel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.20%E -0.320%K -0.436%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-19 15:55
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.20%E -0.320%K -0.436%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-19 15:34
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.20%E -0.320%K -0.436%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.93%E -6.35%K -31.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 15:55
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.20%E -0.320%K -0.436%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.93%E -6.35%K -31.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 15:35
Winamax (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.52%E -0.680%K -0.932%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-19 15:35
BetAnything🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.52%E -0.680%K -0.932%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-19 16:39
SportsBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.52%E -0.680%K -0.932%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.93%E -6.35%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -3.04%E -0.827%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-19 15:35
BetOnline.ag🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -3.04%E -0.827%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-19 15:35
1xBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%EV -3.83%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%EV -2.04%E -1.54%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-19 15:40
NordicBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.83%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 15:35
Betsson🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.83%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 15:35
Fanatics🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.83%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 16:40
Unibet (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.83%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 15:35
ReBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.83%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 15:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -3.83%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 16:25
GTbets🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 26.61%EV -4.10%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.39%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-19 15:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -4.62%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 16:40
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 15:35
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 15:35
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 16:25
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.93%E -6.35%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-19 15:40
DraftKings🎯3.59I 27.86%NM 26.58%EV -5.41%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.42%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 14:50
BetUS🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.47%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 15:35
LeoVegas🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.47%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-19 15:35
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 15:35
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 12:54
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 12:54
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 12:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 12:55
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 11:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 15:35
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 15:35
theScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 11:25
PlayUp🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 15:40
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.04%E -1.54%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 15:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:34
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:35
Casumo🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:34
LiveScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:34
Virgin Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:34
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:34
TABtouch🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:35
BetRivers🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:35
betPARX🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:33
Bally Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:34
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.51%E -2.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-18 13:35
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.74%E -3.50%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-19 15:35
Neds🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.74%E -3.50%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-19 15:35
TAB🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.05%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-19 15:40
PMU (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -14.37%E -4.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-19 10:10
Bet Victor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.37%E -4.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-19 15:30
betano_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.37%E -4.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-19 15:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-08-19 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-08-19 14:20
Matchbook◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-08-19 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-08-19 14:30
ProphetX◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%1.3%2026-08-19 15:45
Smarkets◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%1.9%2026-08-19 16:10
Novig◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%1.9%2026-08-19 16:40