Idioma:Español
Sorana Cirstea v Jessica Pegula
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sorana Cirstea (Local)
Predicción 26.35%3.80momio equitativo
EV +3.54%
Ventaja +0.902%
Kelly +1.21%
Crecimiento +0.043%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.28%26.46%26.12%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.533.503.9330.77%28.30%28.57%25.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Jessica Pegula (Visitante)
Predicción 73.65%1.36momio equitativo
EV -2.04%
Ventaja -1.54%
Kelly -6.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.43%73.54%73.88%75.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.251.301.301.3380.00%77.06%76.92%75.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Sorana Cirstea (Local): 26.35%; Jessica Pegula (Visitante): 73.65%. Para Sorana Cirstea (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.80. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.93, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.54%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.28%EV +3.54%E +0.902%K +1.21%G +0.043% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.72%EV -7.20%E -5.71%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 16:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.89I 25.71%NM 25.05%EV +2.49%E +0.640%K +0.862%G +0.021% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.95%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-19 15:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -1.20%E -0.320%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -3.51%E -2.68%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-19 13:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.20%E -0.320%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-19 14:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.20%E -0.320%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 15:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.20%E -0.320%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 15:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.20%E -0.320%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.93%E -6.35%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 15:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.20%E -0.320%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.93%E -6.35%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.52%E -0.680%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.52%E -0.680%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-19 16:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.52%E -0.680%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.93%E -6.35%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -3.04%E -0.827%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -3.04%E -0.827%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%EV -3.83%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%EV -2.04%E -1.54%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-19 15:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.83%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.83%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.83%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 16:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.83%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.83%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -3.83%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 16:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.61%EV -4.10%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.39%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-19 15:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -4.62%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 16:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 16:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.93%E -6.35%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-19 15:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.58%EV -5.41%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.42%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 14:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.47%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.47%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 12:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 12:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 12:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 12:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 11:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 11:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 15:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.04%E -1.54%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:33 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.51%E -2.68%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.74%E -3.50%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.74%E -3.50%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.05%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 15:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -14.37%E -4.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-19 10:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.37%E -4.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 15:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.37%E -4.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 15:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 14:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 14:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 1.3% | 2026-08-19 15:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 1.9% | 2026-08-19 16:10 |
| Novig◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 1.9% | 2026-08-19 16:40 |