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Sorana Cirstea v Jessica Pegula
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Sorana Cirstea (Хозяева)
Прогноз 26.35%3.80справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.54%
Преимущество +0.902%
Kelly +1.21%
Рост +0.043%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.93
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.28%26.46%26.12%28.57%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.253.533.503.9330.77%28.30%28.57%25.45%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Jessica Pegula (Гости)
Прогноз 73.65%1.36справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.04%
Преимущество -1.54%
Kelly -6.19%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.33
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
71.43%73.54%73.88%75.72%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.251.301.301.3380.00%77.06%76.92%75.19%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Sorana Cirstea (Хозяева): 26.35%; Jessica Pegula (Гости): 73.65%. Для исхода «Sorana Cirstea (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.80. 2 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.93, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +3.54%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (63 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.28%EV +3.54%E +0.902%K +1.21%G +0.043% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.72%EV -7.20%E -5.71%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 16:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.89I 25.71%NM 25.05%EV +2.49%E +0.640%K +0.862%G +0.021% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.95%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-19 15:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -1.20%E -0.320%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -3.51%E -2.68%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-19 13:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.20%E -0.320%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-19 14:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.20%E -0.320%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 15:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.20%E -0.320%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 15:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.20%E -0.320%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.93%E -6.35%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 15:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.20%E -0.320%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.93%E -6.35%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.52%E -0.680%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.52%E -0.680%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-19 16:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.52%E -0.680%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.93%E -6.35%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -3.04%E -0.827%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -3.04%E -0.827%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%EV -3.83%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%EV -2.04%E -1.54%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-19 15:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.83%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.83%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.83%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 16:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.83%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.83%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -3.83%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 16:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.61%EV -4.10%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.39%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-19 15:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -4.62%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 16:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 16:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.93%E -6.35%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-19 15:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.58%EV -5.41%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.42%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 14:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.47%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.47%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 12:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 12:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 12:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 12:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 11:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 11:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 15:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.04%E -1.54%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:33 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.51%E -2.68%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.74%E -3.50%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.74%E -3.50%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.05%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 15:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -14.37%E -4.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-19 10:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.37%E -4.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 15:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.37%E -4.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 15:29 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 14:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 14:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 1.3% | 2026-08-19 15:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 1.9% | 2026-08-19 16:10 |
| Novig◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 1.9% | 2026-08-19 16:40 |