Langue:Français
Sorana Cirstea v Jessica Pegula
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Sorana Cirstea (Local)
Prévision 26.35%3.80cote équitable
EV +3.54%
Avantage +0.902%
Kelly +1.21%
Croissance +0.043%
avec la cote maximale 3.93
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.28%26.46%26.12%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.533.503.9330.77%28.30%28.57%25.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Jessica Pegula (Visiteur)
Prévision 73.65%1.36cote équitable
EV -2.04%
Avantage -1.54%
Kelly -6.19%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.43%73.54%73.88%75.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.251.301.301.3380.00%77.06%76.92%75.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sorana Cirstea (Local) : 26.35% ; Jessica Pegula (Visiteur) : 73.65%. Pour Sorana Cirstea (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.80. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.93, soit une espérance positive de +3.54%.
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.28%EV +3.54%E +0.902%K +1.21%G +0.043% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.72%EV -7.20%E -5.71%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 16:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.89I 25.71%NM 25.05%EV +2.49%E +0.640%K +0.862%G +0.021% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.95%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-19 15:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -1.20%E -0.320%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -3.51%E -2.68%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-19 13:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.20%E -0.320%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-19 14:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.20%E -0.320%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 15:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.20%E -0.320%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 15:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.20%E -0.320%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.93%E -6.35%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 15:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.20%E -0.320%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.93%E -6.35%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.52%E -0.680%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.52%E -0.680%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-19 16:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.52%E -0.680%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.93%E -6.35%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -3.04%E -0.827%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -3.04%E -0.827%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%EV -3.83%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%EV -2.04%E -1.54%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-19 15:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.83%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.83%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.83%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 16:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.83%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.83%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -3.83%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 16:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.61%EV -4.10%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.39%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-19 15:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -4.62%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 16:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 16:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.93%E -6.35%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-19 15:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.58%EV -5.41%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.42%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 14:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.47%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.47%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 12:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 12:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 12:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 12:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 11:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 11:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 15:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.04%E -1.54%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:33 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.78%E -2.10%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.51%E -2.68%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.74%E -3.50%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.74%E -3.50%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.05%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 15:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -14.37%E -4.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-19 10:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.37%E -4.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 15:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.37%E -4.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 15:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 14:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 14:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 1.3% | 2026-08-19 15:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 1.9% | 2026-08-19 16:10 |
| Novig◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 1.9% | 2026-08-19 16:40 |