默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Simona Waltert v Jessica Pegula

开赛时间: 2026-08-15 20:37 UTC

最终结果: Simona Waltert 0–2 Jessica Pegula

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

64 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Simona Waltert (主队)

预测 9.71%10.30公平赔率
EV +22.28%
优势 +1.77%
Kelly +1.92%
增长率 +0.428%

假设最高赔率为 12.59

博彩公司预测分布
7.70%9.69%9.68%12.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.509.609.1312.5913.33%10.42%10.96%7.94%最小值均值中位数最大值

Jessica Pegula (客队)

预测 90.29%1.11公平赔率
EV -2.49%
优势 -2.30%
Kelly -31.12%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.08

博彩公司预测分布
87.41%90.31%90.32%92.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.021.051.051.0898.04%94.80%95.24%92.59%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Simona Waltert (主队):9.71%;Jessica Pegula (客队):90.29%。 对于“Simona Waltert (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为10.30。 当时有11家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为12.59,对应+22.28%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯12.59I 7.94%NM 7.70%EV +22.28%E +1.77%K +1.92%G +0.428%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.30%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-15 19:44
Winamax (DE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +16.55%E +1.38%K +1.50%G +0.249%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-14 11:04
Sky Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +16.55%E +1.38%K +1.50%G +0.249%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-15 20:05
Paddy Power🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +16.55%E +1.38%K +1.50%G +0.249%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-15 20:04
FanDuel🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +16.55%E +1.38%K +1.50%G +0.249%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -6.10%E -5.87%K -152.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 20:04
DraftKings🎯11.60I 8.62%NM 8.37%EV +12.66%E +1.09%K +1.19%G +0.151%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.63%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 20:35
Coolbet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +11.69%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.130%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 19:29
BoyleSports🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +6.84%E +0.621%K +0.684%G +0.047%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 12:39
Bovada🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +6.84%E +0.621%K +0.684%G +0.047%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 19:33
Winamax (FR)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +6.84%E +0.621%K +0.684%G +0.047%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 18:34
Fanatics🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +1.98%E +0.189%K +0.208%G +0.004%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 20:04
LowVig.ag🎯10.28I 9.73%NM 9.35%EV -0.157%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.65%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 16:35
BetOnline.ag🎯10.28I 9.73%NM 9.35%EV -0.157%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.65%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 16:34
Betr (AU)🎯10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -0.448%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -6.10%E -5.87%K -152.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 20:05
Coral🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.88%E -0.288%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.88%E -0.288%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 19:40
Betway🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.88%E -0.288%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 19:34
888sport🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.88%E -0.288%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.10%E -5.87%K -152.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 20:35
888sport (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.88%E -0.288%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.10%E -5.87%K -152.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 20:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.88%E -0.288%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.10%E -5.87%K -152.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 20:35
betfred_uk🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.88%E -0.288%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.10%E -5.87%K -152.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 20:04
William Hill🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.88%E -0.288%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.10%E -5.87%K -152.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 20:35
Unibet (FR)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -2.88%E -0.288%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.00%E -6.80%K -233.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 20:05
BetAnything🎯9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV -3.36%E -0.338%K -0.376%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 19:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯9.80I 10.20%NM 9.68%EV -4.82%E -0.492%K -0.548%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.32%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 20:34
GTbets🎯9.56I 10.46%NM 10.15%EV -7.15%E -0.748%K -0.835%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.85%EV -2.49%E -2.30%K -31.12%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 10:54
Unibet (UK)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -7.73%E -0.814%K -0.910%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 20:05
BetUS🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -7.73%E -0.814%K -0.910%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 19:34
SportsBet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -7.73%E -0.814%K -0.910%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -6.10%E -5.87%K -152.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 20:05
Fliff🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -7.73%E -0.814%K -0.910%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -7.91%E -7.75%K -395.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 20:34
Marathon Bet🎯9.30I 10.75%NM 10.14%EV -9.67%E -1.04%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.86%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 20:34
BetMGM🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -10.16%E -1.10%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 19:44
Unibet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 09:39
Casumo🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 09:39
TABtouch🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 09:39
Unibet (NL)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 09:39
BetRivers🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 09:40
Grosvenor🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 09:40
Unibet (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 09:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 09:39
Bally Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 09:40
Svenska Spel🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 09:39
ATG (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 09:39
betPARX🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 09:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 09:39
LiveScore Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 09:09
theScore Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 11:35
LeoVegas🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 20:34
Caesars🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 18:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 20:04
Tipico (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -7.00%E -6.80%K -233.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 12:55
1xBet🎯8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV -12.78%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 20:34
NordicBet🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -15.02%E -1.72%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 20:34
ReBet🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -15.02%E -1.72%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 20:34
Neds🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.71%EV -15.02%E -1.72%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.29%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.71%EV -15.02%E -1.72%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.29%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 19:40
Virgin Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -17.44%E -2.05%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 20:33
Betsson🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -17.44%E -2.05%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 20:35
TAB🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -17.44%E -2.05%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 18:45
PMU (FR)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -17.44%E -2.05%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.10%E -5.87%K -152.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 09:39
Betclic (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -22.30%E -2.79%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 20:33
betano_uk🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -22.30%E -2.79%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 20:35
Bet Victor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -22.30%E -2.79%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 20:34
PlayUp🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -27.16%E -3.62%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -2.49%E -2.30%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 20:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig◎12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%0.6%2026-08-15 20:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%0.6%2026-08-15 20:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%0.6%2026-08-15 20:35
Matchbook◎14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%0.6%2026-08-15 20:35
ProphetX◎13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40%1.2%2026-08-15 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎14.00I 7.14%NM 7.04%1.06I 94.34%NM 92.96%1.5%2026-08-15 20:35
Smarkets◎14.01I 7.14%NM 6.97%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.03%2.4%2026-08-15 20:35