StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Simona Waltert v Jessica Pegula

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-15 20:37 UTC

Endstand: Simona Waltert 0–2 Jessica Pegula

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Simona Waltert (Heim)

Prognose 9.71%10.30faire Quote
EV +22.28%
Vorteil +1.77%
Kelly +1.92%
Wachstum +0.428%

bei einer Höchstquote von 12.59

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
7.70%9.69%9.68%12.59%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
7.509.609.1312.5913.33%10.42%10.96%7.94%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Jessica Pegula (Auswärts)

Prognose 90.29%1.11faire Quote
EV -2.49%
Vorteil -2.30%
Kelly -31.12%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.08

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
87.41%90.31%90.32%92.30%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.021.051.051.0898.04%94.80%95.24%92.59%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Simona Waltert (Heim): 9.71%; Jessica Pegula (Auswärts): 90.29%. Für Simona Waltert (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 10.30. 11 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 12.59 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +22.28%.

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯12.59I 7.94%NM 7.70%EV +22.28%E +1.77%K +1.92%G +0.428%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.30%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-15 19:44
Winamax (DE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +16.55%E +1.38%K +1.50%G +0.249%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-14 11:04
Sky Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +16.55%E +1.38%K +1.50%G +0.249%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-15 20:05
Paddy Power🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +16.55%E +1.38%K +1.50%G +0.249%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-15 20:04
FanDuel🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +16.55%E +1.38%K +1.50%G +0.249%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -6.10%E -5.87%K -152.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 20:04
DraftKings🎯11.60I 8.62%NM 8.37%EV +12.66%E +1.09%K +1.19%G +0.151%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.63%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 20:35
Coolbet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +11.69%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.130%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 19:29
BoyleSports🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +6.84%E +0.621%K +0.684%G +0.047%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 12:39
Bovada🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +6.84%E +0.621%K +0.684%G +0.047%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 19:33
Winamax (FR)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +6.84%E +0.621%K +0.684%G +0.047%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 18:34
Fanatics🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +1.98%E +0.189%K +0.208%G +0.004%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 20:04
LowVig.ag🎯10.28I 9.73%NM 9.35%EV -0.157%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.65%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 16:35
BetOnline.ag🎯10.28I 9.73%NM 9.35%EV -0.157%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.65%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 16:34
Betr (AU)🎯10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -0.448%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -6.10%E -5.87%K -152.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 20:05
Coral🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.88%E -0.288%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.88%E -0.288%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 19:40
Betway🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.88%E -0.288%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 19:34
888sport🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.88%E -0.288%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.10%E -5.87%K -152.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 20:35
888sport (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.88%E -0.288%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.10%E -5.87%K -152.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 20:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.88%E -0.288%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.10%E -5.87%K -152.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 20:35
betfred_uk🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.88%E -0.288%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.10%E -5.87%K -152.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 20:04
William Hill🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.88%E -0.288%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.10%E -5.87%K -152.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 20:35
Unibet (FR)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -2.88%E -0.288%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.00%E -6.80%K -233.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 20:05
BetAnything🎯9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV -3.36%E -0.338%K -0.376%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 19:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯9.80I 10.20%NM 9.68%EV -4.82%E -0.492%K -0.548%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.32%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 20:34
GTbets🎯9.56I 10.46%NM 10.15%EV -7.15%E -0.748%K -0.835%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.85%EV -2.49%E -2.30%K -31.12%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 10:54
Unibet (UK)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -7.73%E -0.814%K -0.910%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 20:05
BetUS🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -7.73%E -0.814%K -0.910%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 19:34
SportsBet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -7.73%E -0.814%K -0.910%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -6.10%E -5.87%K -152.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 20:05
Fliff🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -7.73%E -0.814%K -0.910%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -7.91%E -7.75%K -395.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 20:34
Marathon Bet🎯9.30I 10.75%NM 10.14%EV -9.67%E -1.04%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.86%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 20:34
BetMGM🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -10.16%E -1.10%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 19:44
Unibet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 09:39
Casumo🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 09:39
TABtouch🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 09:39
Unibet (NL)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 09:39
BetRivers🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 09:40
Grosvenor🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 09:40
Unibet (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 09:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 09:39
Bally Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 09:40
Svenska Spel🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 09:39
ATG (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 09:39
betPARX🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 09:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 09:39
LiveScore Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 09:09
theScore Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 11:35
LeoVegas🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 20:34
Caesars🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 18:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 20:04
Tipico (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -7.00%E -6.80%K -233.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 12:55
1xBet🎯8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV -12.78%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 20:34
NordicBet🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -15.02%E -1.72%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 20:34
ReBet🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -15.02%E -1.72%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 20:34
Neds🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.71%EV -15.02%E -1.72%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.29%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.71%EV -15.02%E -1.72%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.29%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 19:40
Virgin Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -17.44%E -2.05%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 20:33
Betsson🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -17.44%E -2.05%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 20:35
TAB🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -17.44%E -2.05%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 18:45
PMU (FR)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -17.44%E -2.05%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.10%E -5.87%K -152.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 09:39
Betclic (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -22.30%E -2.79%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 20:33
betano_uk🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -22.30%E -2.79%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 20:35
Bet Victor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -22.30%E -2.79%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 20:34
PlayUp🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -27.16%E -3.62%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -2.49%E -2.30%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 20:15
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Novig◎12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%0.6%2026-08-15 20:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%0.6%2026-08-15 20:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%0.6%2026-08-15 20:35
Matchbook◎14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%0.6%2026-08-15 20:35
ProphetX◎13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40%1.2%2026-08-15 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎14.00I 7.14%NM 7.04%1.06I 94.34%NM 92.96%1.5%2026-08-15 20:35
Smarkets◎14.01I 7.14%NM 6.97%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.03%2.4%2026-08-15 20:35