Langue:Français
Simona Waltert v Jessica Pegula
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Simona Waltert (Local)
Prévision 9.71%10.30cote équitable
EV +22.28%
Avantage +1.77%
Kelly +1.92%
Croissance +0.428%
avec la cote maximale 12.59
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.70%9.69%9.68%12.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.509.609.1312.5913.33%10.42%10.96%7.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Jessica Pegula (Visiteur)
Prévision 90.29%1.11cote équitable
EV -2.49%
Avantage -2.30%
Kelly -31.12%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.08
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
87.41%90.31%90.32%92.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.021.051.051.0898.04%94.80%95.24%92.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Simona Waltert (Local) : 9.71% ; Jessica Pegula (Visiteur) : 90.29%. Pour Simona Waltert (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 10.30. 11 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 12.59, soit une espérance positive de +22.28%.
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 12.59I 7.94%NM 7.70%EV +22.28%E +1.77%K +1.92%G +0.428% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.30%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +16.55%E +1.38%K +1.50%G +0.249% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-14 11:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +16.55%E +1.38%K +1.50%G +0.249% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +16.55%E +1.38%K +1.50%G +0.249% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +16.55%E +1.38%K +1.50%G +0.249% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -6.10%E -5.87%K -152.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 11.60I 8.62%NM 8.37%EV +12.66%E +1.09%K +1.19%G +0.151% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.63%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 20:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +11.69%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.130% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 19:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +6.84%E +0.621%K +0.684%G +0.047% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +6.84%E +0.621%K +0.684%G +0.047% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 19:33 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +6.84%E +0.621%K +0.684%G +0.047% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 18:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +1.98%E +0.189%K +0.208%G +0.004% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 10.28I 9.73%NM 9.35%EV -0.157%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.65%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 16:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 10.28I 9.73%NM 9.35%EV -0.157%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.65%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 16:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -0.448%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -6.10%E -5.87%K -152.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.88%E -0.288%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.88%E -0.288%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 19:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.88%E -0.288%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 19:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.88%E -0.288%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.10%E -5.87%K -152.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 20:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.88%E -0.288%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.10%E -5.87%K -152.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 20:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.88%E -0.288%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.10%E -5.87%K -152.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 20:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.88%E -0.288%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.10%E -5.87%K -152.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.88%E -0.288%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.10%E -5.87%K -152.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 20:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -2.88%E -0.288%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.00%E -6.80%K -233.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV -3.36%E -0.338%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 19:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.68%EV -4.82%E -0.492%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.32%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 20:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 9.56I 10.46%NM 10.15%EV -7.15%E -0.748%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.85%EV -2.49%E -2.30%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -7.73%E -0.814%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -7.73%E -0.814%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 19:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -7.73%E -0.814%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -6.10%E -5.87%K -152.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -7.73%E -0.814%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -7.91%E -7.75%K -395.33%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 20:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.14%EV -9.67%E -1.04%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.86%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 20:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -10.16%E -1.10%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 09:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 09:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 09:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 09:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 09:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 11:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 20:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 18:43 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -7.00%E -6.80%K -233.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 12:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV -12.78%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 20:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -15.02%E -1.72%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 20:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -15.02%E -1.72%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 20:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.71%EV -15.02%E -1.72%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.29%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.71%EV -15.02%E -1.72%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.29%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 19:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -17.44%E -2.05%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 20:33 |
| Betsson🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -17.44%E -2.05%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 20:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -17.44%E -2.05%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -17.44%E -2.05%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.10%E -5.87%K -152.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -22.30%E -2.79%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 20:33 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -22.30%E -2.79%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 20:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -22.30%E -2.79%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 20:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -27.16%E -3.62%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -2.49%E -2.30%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 20:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 20:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 20:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.04% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.96% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 20:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 14.01I 7.14%NM 6.97% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.03% | 2.4% | 2026-08-15 20:35 |