Język:Polski
Simona Waltert v Jessica Pegula
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Simona Waltert (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 9.71%10.30kurs godziwy
EV +22.28%
Przewaga +1.77%
Kelly +1.92%
Wzrost +0.428%
przy maksymalnym kursie 12.59
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
7.70%9.69%9.68%12.59%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
7.509.609.1312.5913.33%10.42%10.96%7.94%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Jessica Pegula (Goście)
Prognoza 90.29%1.11kurs godziwy
EV -2.49%
Przewaga -2.30%
Kelly -31.12%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.08
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
87.41%90.31%90.32%92.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.021.051.051.0898.04%94.80%95.24%92.59%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Simona Waltert (Gospodarze): 9.71%; Jessica Pegula (Goście): 90.29%. Dla wyniku Simona Waltert (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 10.30. 11 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 12.59, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +22.28%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 12.59I 7.94%NM 7.70%EV +22.28%E +1.77%K +1.92%G +0.428% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.30%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +16.55%E +1.38%K +1.50%G +0.249% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-14 11:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +16.55%E +1.38%K +1.50%G +0.249% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +16.55%E +1.38%K +1.50%G +0.249% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +16.55%E +1.38%K +1.50%G +0.249% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -6.10%E -5.87%K -152.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 11.60I 8.62%NM 8.37%EV +12.66%E +1.09%K +1.19%G +0.151% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.63%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 20:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +11.69%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.130% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 19:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +6.84%E +0.621%K +0.684%G +0.047% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +6.84%E +0.621%K +0.684%G +0.047% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 19:33 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +6.84%E +0.621%K +0.684%G +0.047% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 18:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +1.98%E +0.189%K +0.208%G +0.004% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 10.28I 9.73%NM 9.35%EV -0.157%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.65%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 16:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 10.28I 9.73%NM 9.35%EV -0.157%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.65%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 16:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -0.448%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -6.10%E -5.87%K -152.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.88%E -0.288%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.88%E -0.288%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 19:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.88%E -0.288%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 19:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.88%E -0.288%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.10%E -5.87%K -152.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 20:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.88%E -0.288%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.10%E -5.87%K -152.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 20:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.88%E -0.288%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.10%E -5.87%K -152.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 20:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.88%E -0.288%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.10%E -5.87%K -152.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.88%E -0.288%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.10%E -5.87%K -152.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 20:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -2.88%E -0.288%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.00%E -6.80%K -233.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV -3.36%E -0.338%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 19:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.68%EV -4.82%E -0.492%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.32%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 20:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 9.56I 10.46%NM 10.15%EV -7.15%E -0.748%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.85%EV -2.49%E -2.30%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -7.73%E -0.814%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -7.73%E -0.814%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 19:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -7.73%E -0.814%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -6.10%E -5.87%K -152.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -7.73%E -0.814%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -7.91%E -7.75%K -395.33%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 20:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.14%EV -9.67%E -1.04%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.86%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 20:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -10.16%E -1.10%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 09:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 09:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 09:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 09:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 09:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 11:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 20:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 18:43 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 20:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -12.59%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -7.00%E -6.80%K -233.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 12:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV -12.78%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -3.39%E -3.17%K -48.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 20:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -15.02%E -1.72%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 20:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -15.02%E -1.72%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 20:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.71%EV -15.02%E -1.72%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.29%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.71%EV -15.02%E -1.72%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.29%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 19:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -17.44%E -2.05%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 20:33 |
| Betsson🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -17.44%E -2.05%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.30%E -4.05%K -71.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 20:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -17.44%E -2.05%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -17.44%E -2.05%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.10%E -5.87%K -152.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -22.30%E -2.79%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 20:33 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -22.30%E -2.79%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 20:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -22.30%E -2.79%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.20%E -4.95%K -103.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 20:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -27.16%E -3.62%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -2.49%E -2.30%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 20:15 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 20:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 20:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.04% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.96% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 20:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 14.01I 7.14%NM 6.97% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.03% | 2.4% | 2026-08-15 20:35 |