Language:English
Sara Bejlek v Ekaterina Alexandrova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sara Bejlek (Local)
Prediction 50.76%1.97fair odd
EV +4.05%
Edge +1.97%
Kelly +3.86%
Growth +0.156%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.05%50.68%50.93%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.872.0555.56%53.29%53.48%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visit)
Prediction 49.24%2.03fair odd
EV -0.033%
Edge -0.016%
Kelly -0.032%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%49.32%49.07%53.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.901.902.0360.24%52.72%52.63%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sara Bejlek (Local): 50.76%; Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visit): 49.24%. For Sara Bejlek (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.97. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.05%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +4.05%E +1.97%K +3.86%G +0.156% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -13.82%E -7.90%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +4.05%E +1.97%K +3.86%G +0.156% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -13.82%E -7.90%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +4.05%E +1.97%K +3.86%G +0.156% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -13.82%E -7.90%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +4.05%E +1.97%K +3.86%G +0.156% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -13.82%E -7.90%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV +2.53%E +1.25%K +2.48%G +0.063% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -14.31%E -8.23%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV +2.53%E +1.25%K +2.48%G +0.063% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -14.81%E -8.56%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.03%E -0.527%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -11.36%E -6.31%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.03%E -0.527%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -11.36%E -6.31%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 21:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -1.53%E -0.791%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -5.45%E -2.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-18 18:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.24%EV -2.04%E -1.06%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.76%EV -18.25%E -11.00%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.55%E -1.33%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -6.93%E -3.67%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 20:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -6.43%E -3.39%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 18:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -6.43%E -3.39%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 19:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -6.43%E -3.39%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 20:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.42%E -3.95%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.42%E -3.95%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 20:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.42%E -3.95%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 20:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.42%E -3.95%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 20:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.42%E -3.95%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 20:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.91%E -4.23%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.91%E -4.23%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 21:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.57%E -1.88%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.43%E -3.39%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.57%E -1.88%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.43%E -3.39%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.033%E -0.016%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-18 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -9.39%E -5.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 21:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 20:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 20:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.96%E -2.57%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 21:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.91%E -4.23%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 19:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.91%E -4.23%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.91%E -4.23%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.91%E -4.23%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.91%E -4.23%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 21:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.50%E -1.26%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-18 20:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.50%E -1.26%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-18 20:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 20:58 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.45%E -2.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.45%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.55%EV -10.87%E -6.00%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-18 21:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.61%E -3.59%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.43%E -3.39%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.51%E -0.755%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-18 20:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.88%E -5.40%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-18 20:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.51%E -0.755%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-18 21:03 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-18 20:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.47%E -2.30%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-18 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.47%E -2.30%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-18 20:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.51%E -0.755%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.51%E -0.755%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.51%E -0.755%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.51%E -0.755%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 20:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.51%E -0.755%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 20:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -2.50%E -1.26%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.88%E -5.40%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 0.4% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 0.9% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.9% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31% | 2.6% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |