Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sara Bejlek v Ekaterina Alexandrova

Início: 2026-08-18 21:07 UTC

Final: Sara Bejlek 2–1 Ekaterina Alexandrova

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sara Bejlek (Local)

Previsão 50.76%1.97odd justa
EV +4.05%
Vantagem +1.97%
Kelly +3.86%
Crescimento +0.156%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.05%50.68%50.93%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.881.872.0555.56%53.29%53.48%48.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visitante)

Previsão 49.24%2.03odd justa
EV -0.033%
Vantagem -0.016%
Kelly -0.032%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.03

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.37%49.32%49.07%53.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.661.901.902.0360.24%52.72%52.63%49.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Sara Bejlek (Local): 50.76%; Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visitante): 49.24%. Para Sara Bejlek (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.97. 6 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.05, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.05%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +4.05%E +1.97%K +3.86%G +0.156%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -13.82%E -7.90%K -18.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 21:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +4.05%E +1.97%K +3.86%G +0.156%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -13.82%E -7.90%K -18.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 21:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +4.05%E +1.97%K +3.86%G +0.156%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -13.82%E -7.90%K -18.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 21:05
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +4.05%E +1.97%K +3.86%G +0.156%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -13.82%E -7.90%K -18.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 21:05
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV +2.53%E +1.25%K +2.48%G +0.063%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -14.31%E -8.23%K -19.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 21:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV +2.53%E +1.25%K +2.48%G +0.063%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -14.81%E -8.56%K -20.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-18 21:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.03%E -0.527%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -11.36%E -6.31%K -14.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 21:05
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.03%E -0.527%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -11.36%E -6.31%K -14.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 21:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -1.53%E -0.791%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -5.45%E -2.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-18 18:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.24%EV -2.04%E -1.06%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.76%EV -18.25%E -11.00%K -27.66%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-18 21:05
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.55%E -1.33%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -6.93%E -3.67%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 21:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 20:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -6.43%E -3.39%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 18:35
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -6.43%E -3.39%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 19:15
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -6.43%E -3.39%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 20:00
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.42%E -3.95%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 21:05
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.42%E -3.95%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 20:00
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.42%E -3.95%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 20:00
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.42%E -3.95%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 20:00
Bally Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.42%E -3.95%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 20:00
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.91%E -4.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 21:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.91%E -4.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 21:04
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.57%E -1.88%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.43%E -3.39%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 21:05
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.57%E -1.88%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.43%E -3.39%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 21:05
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.033%E -0.016%K -0.032%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-18 20:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -9.39%E -5.10%K -11.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-18 21:04
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-18 20:55
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-18 20:00
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-18 21:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.96%E -2.57%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 21:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.91%E -4.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 19:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.91%E -4.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 21:05
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.91%E -4.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 21:05
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.91%E -4.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 21:05
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.91%E -4.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 21:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.50%E -1.26%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 20:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.50%E -1.26%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 20:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 21:05
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 20:58
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.45%E -2.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 21:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.45%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.55%EV -10.87%E -6.00%K -13.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-18 21:04
BetUS🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.61%E -3.59%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.43%E -3.39%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 21:05
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.51%E -0.755%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 20:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.88%E -5.40%K -11.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-18 20:59
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.51%E -0.755%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 21:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 21:03
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 20:59
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.47%E -2.30%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-18 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.47%E -2.30%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-18 20:20
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.51%E -0.755%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 20:45
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.51%E -0.755%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 21:05
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.51%E -0.755%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 21:05
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.51%E -0.755%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 20:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.51%E -0.755%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 20:55
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -2.50%E -1.26%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 21:05
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 21:05
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 21:05
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-18 21:05
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-18 21:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-18 21:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-18 21:05
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.88%E -5.40%K -11.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-18 21:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-08-18 21:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-08-18 21:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-08-18 21:05
Matchbook◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-08-18 21:05
ProphetX◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-08-18 21:05
Smarkets◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-08-18 21:05
Novig◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%2.6%2026-08-18 21:05