StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Sara Bejlek v Ekaterina Alexandrova

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-18 21:07 UTC

Endstand: Sara Bejlek 2–1 Ekaterina Alexandrova

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Sara Bejlek (Heim)

Prognose 50.76%1.97faire Quote
EV +4.05%
Vorteil +1.97%
Kelly +3.86%
Wachstum +0.156%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.05

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
46.05%50.68%50.93%52.63%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.801.881.872.0555.56%53.29%53.48%48.78%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Ekaterina Alexandrova (Auswärts)

Prognose 49.24%2.03faire Quote
EV -0.033%
Vorteil -0.016%
Kelly -0.032%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.03

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
47.37%49.32%49.07%53.95%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.661.901.902.0360.24%52.72%52.63%49.26%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Sara Bejlek (Heim): 50.76%; Ekaterina Alexandrova (Auswärts): 49.24%. Für Sara Bejlek (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.97. 6 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.05 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +4.05%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +4.05%E +1.97%K +3.86%G +0.156%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -13.82%E -7.90%K -18.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 21:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +4.05%E +1.97%K +3.86%G +0.156%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -13.82%E -7.90%K -18.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 21:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +4.05%E +1.97%K +3.86%G +0.156%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -13.82%E -7.90%K -18.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 21:05
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +4.05%E +1.97%K +3.86%G +0.156%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -13.82%E -7.90%K -18.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 21:05
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV +2.53%E +1.25%K +2.48%G +0.063%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -14.31%E -8.23%K -19.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 21:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV +2.53%E +1.25%K +2.48%G +0.063%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -14.81%E -8.56%K -20.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-18 21:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.03%E -0.527%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -11.36%E -6.31%K -14.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 21:05
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.03%E -0.527%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -11.36%E -6.31%K -14.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 21:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -1.53%E -0.791%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -5.45%E -2.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-18 18:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.24%EV -2.04%E -1.06%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.76%EV -18.25%E -11.00%K -27.66%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-18 21:05
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.55%E -1.33%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -6.93%E -3.67%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 21:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 20:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -6.43%E -3.39%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 18:35
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -6.43%E -3.39%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 19:15
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -6.43%E -3.39%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 20:00
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.42%E -3.95%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 21:05
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.42%E -3.95%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 20:00
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.42%E -3.95%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 20:00
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.42%E -3.95%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 20:00
Bally Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.42%E -3.95%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 20:00
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.91%E -4.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 21:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.91%E -4.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 21:04
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.57%E -1.88%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.43%E -3.39%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 21:05
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.57%E -1.88%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.43%E -3.39%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 21:05
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.033%E -0.016%K -0.032%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-18 20:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -9.39%E -5.10%K -11.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-18 21:04
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-18 20:55
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-18 20:00
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-18 21:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.96%E -2.57%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 21:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.91%E -4.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 19:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.91%E -4.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 21:05
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.91%E -4.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 21:05
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.91%E -4.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 21:05
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.91%E -4.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 21:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.50%E -1.26%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 20:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.50%E -1.26%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 20:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 21:05
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 20:58
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.45%E -2.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 21:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.45%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.55%EV -10.87%E -6.00%K -13.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-18 21:04
BetUS🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.61%E -3.59%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.43%E -3.39%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 21:05
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.51%E -0.755%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 20:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.88%E -5.40%K -11.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-18 20:59
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.51%E -0.755%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 21:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 21:03
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 20:59
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.47%E -2.30%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-18 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.47%E -2.30%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-18 20:20
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.51%E -0.755%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 20:45
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.51%E -0.755%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 21:05
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.51%E -0.755%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 21:05
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.51%E -0.755%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 20:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.51%E -0.755%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 20:55
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -2.50%E -1.26%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 21:05
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 21:05
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 21:05
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-18 21:05
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-18 21:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-18 21:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-18 21:05
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.88%E -5.40%K -11.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-18 21:05
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-08-18 21:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-08-18 21:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-08-18 21:05
Matchbook◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-08-18 21:05
ProphetX◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-08-18 21:05
Smarkets◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-08-18 21:05
Novig◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%2.6%2026-08-18 21:05