Idioma:Español
Sara Bejlek v Ekaterina Alexandrova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sara Bejlek (Local)
Predicción 50.76%1.97momio equitativo
EV +4.05%
Ventaja +1.97%
Kelly +3.86%
Crecimiento +0.156%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.05%50.68%50.93%52.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.801.881.872.0555.56%53.29%53.48%48.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visitante)
Predicción 49.24%2.03momio equitativo
EV -0.033%
Ventaja -0.016%
Kelly -0.032%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.03
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.37%49.32%49.07%53.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.661.901.902.0360.24%52.72%52.63%49.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Sara Bejlek (Local): 50.76%; Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visitante): 49.24%. Para Sara Bejlek (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.97. 6 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.05, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.05%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +4.05%E +1.97%K +3.86%G +0.156% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -13.82%E -7.90%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +4.05%E +1.97%K +3.86%G +0.156% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -13.82%E -7.90%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +4.05%E +1.97%K +3.86%G +0.156% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -13.82%E -7.90%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +4.05%E +1.97%K +3.86%G +0.156% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -13.82%E -7.90%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV +2.53%E +1.25%K +2.48%G +0.063% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -14.31%E -8.23%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV +2.53%E +1.25%K +2.48%G +0.063% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -14.81%E -8.56%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.03%E -0.527%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -11.36%E -6.31%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.03%E -0.527%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -11.36%E -6.31%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 21:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -1.53%E -0.791%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -5.45%E -2.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-18 18:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.24%EV -2.04%E -1.06%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.76%EV -18.25%E -11.00%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.55%E -1.33%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -6.93%E -3.67%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 20:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -6.43%E -3.39%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 18:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -6.43%E -3.39%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 19:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -6.43%E -3.39%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 20:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.42%E -3.95%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.42%E -3.95%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 20:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.42%E -3.95%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 20:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.42%E -3.95%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 20:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.42%E -3.95%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 20:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.91%E -4.23%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.91%E -4.23%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 21:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.57%E -1.88%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.43%E -3.39%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.57%E -1.88%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.43%E -3.39%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.033%E -0.016%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-18 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -9.39%E -5.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 21:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 20:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 20:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.96%E -2.57%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 21:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.91%E -4.23%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 19:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.91%E -4.23%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.91%E -4.23%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.91%E -4.23%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.91%E -4.23%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 21:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.50%E -1.26%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-18 20:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.50%E -1.26%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-18 20:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 20:58 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.45%E -2.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.45%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.55%EV -10.87%E -6.00%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-18 21:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.61%E -3.59%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.43%E -3.39%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.51%E -0.755%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-18 20:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.88%E -5.40%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-18 20:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.51%E -0.755%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-18 21:03 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-18 20:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.47%E -2.30%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-18 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.47%E -2.30%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-18 20:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.51%E -0.755%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.51%E -0.755%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.51%E -0.755%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.51%E -0.755%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 20:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.51%E -0.755%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 20:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -2.50%E -1.26%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.88%E -5.40%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 0.4% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 0.9% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.9% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31% | 2.6% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |