Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nikola Bartunkova v Alina Charaeva

Kickoff: 2026-08-14 15:02 UTC

Final: Nikola Bartunkova 2–1 Alina Charaeva

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nikola Bartunkova (Local)

Prediction 67.49%1.48fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -3.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.04%67.34%67.44%68.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.411.401.4674.07%71.02%71.43%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alina Charaeva (Visit)

Prediction 32.51%3.08fair odd
EV -1.17%
Edge -0.385%
Kelly -0.573%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.40%32.66%32.56%35.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.902.953.0438.46%34.47%33.90%32.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nikola Bartunkova (Local): 67.49%; Alina Charaeva (Visit): 32.51%. For Alina Charaeva (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.08. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.04, with an expected value of -1.17%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -1.46%E -1.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -15.47%E -5.95%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 14:34
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -2.14%E -1.48%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-14 14:35
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -2.14%E -1.48%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -9.30%E -3.33%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 14:29
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -2.81%E -1.95%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -7.67%E -2.70%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 14:29
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.81%E -1.95%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.97%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 14:54
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.81%E -1.95%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.60%E -3.85%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 14:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.81%E -1.95%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.60%E -3.85%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 14:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.49%E -2.44%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -2.47%E -0.823%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-14 14:35
BetAnything🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.49%E -2.44%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 14:35
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.49%E -2.44%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 14:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.80%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -2.80%E -0.935%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.80%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -2.80%E -0.935%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 14:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 14:35
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 14:29
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.97%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.97%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 13:45
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.97%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 14:59
BetUS🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -4.84%E -3.43%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -1.17%E -0.385%K -0.573%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-14 14:55
ReBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.84%E -3.43%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 14:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.84%E -3.43%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 14:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -4.84%E -3.43%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -6.05%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 14:29
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -4.84%E -3.43%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -9.62%E -3.46%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 14:29
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.25%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.75%EV -2.14%E -0.713%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 07:50
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.47%E -0.823%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 14:50
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:59
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 13:42
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 13:59
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 14:59
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:55
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 07:50
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:54
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:55
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:54
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.37%E -2.21%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 11:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.70%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 13:45
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.70%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 13:44
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.60%E -3.85%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 14:29
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.60%E -3.85%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 14:30
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.60%E -3.85%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 14:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.86%E -4.97%K -18.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 14:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.21%E -6.04%K -22.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 07:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.89%E -6.58%K -25.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 14:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-08-14 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-08-14 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-08-14 15:00
ProphetX1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.7%2026-08-14 15:00
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.7%2026-08-14 15:00
Novig1.43I 69.93%NM 68.29%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.71%2.4%2026-08-14 14:55