Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Nikola Bartunkova v Alina Charaeva

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-14 15:02 UTC

Score final : Nikola Bartunkova 2–1 Alina Charaeva

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Nikola Bartunkova (Local)

Prévision 67.49%1.48cote équitable
EV -1.46%
Avantage -1.00%
Kelly -3.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.04%67.34%67.44%68.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.351.411.401.4674.07%71.02%71.43%68.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Alina Charaeva (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.51%3.08cote équitable
EV -1.17%
Avantage -0.385%
Kelly -0.573%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.40%32.66%32.56%35.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.902.953.0438.46%34.47%33.90%32.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Nikola Bartunkova (Local) : 67.49% ; Alina Charaeva (Visiteur) : 32.51%. Pour Alina Charaeva (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.08. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.04, pour une espérance de -1.17% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -1.46%E -1.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -15.47%E -5.95%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 14:34
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -2.14%E -1.48%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-14 14:35
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -2.14%E -1.48%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -9.30%E -3.33%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 14:29
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -2.81%E -1.95%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -7.67%E -2.70%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 14:29
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.81%E -1.95%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.97%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 14:54
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.81%E -1.95%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.60%E -3.85%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 14:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.81%E -1.95%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.60%E -3.85%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 14:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.49%E -2.44%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -2.47%E -0.823%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-14 14:35
BetAnything🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.49%E -2.44%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 14:35
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.49%E -2.44%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 14:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.80%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -2.80%E -0.935%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.80%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -2.80%E -0.935%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 14:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 14:35
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 14:29
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.97%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.97%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 13:45
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.97%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 14:59
BetUS🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -4.84%E -3.43%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -1.17%E -0.385%K -0.573%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-14 14:55
ReBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.84%E -3.43%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 14:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.84%E -3.43%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 14:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -4.84%E -3.43%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -6.05%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 14:29
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -4.84%E -3.43%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -9.62%E -3.46%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 14:29
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.25%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.75%EV -2.14%E -0.713%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 07:50
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.47%E -0.823%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 14:50
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:59
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 13:42
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 13:59
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 14:59
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:55
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 07:50
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:54
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:55
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:54
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.37%E -2.21%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 11:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.70%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 13:45
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.70%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 13:44
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.60%E -3.85%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 14:29
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.60%E -3.85%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 14:30
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.60%E -3.85%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 14:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.86%E -4.97%K -18.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 14:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.21%E -6.04%K -22.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 07:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.89%E -6.58%K -25.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 14:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-08-14 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-08-14 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-08-14 15:00
ProphetX◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.7%2026-08-14 15:00
Matchbook◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.7%2026-08-14 15:00
Novig◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.29%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.71%2.4%2026-08-14 14:55