Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Nikola Bartunkova v Alina Charaeva

Início: 2026-08-14 15:02 UTC

Final: Nikola Bartunkova 2–1 Alina Charaeva

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Nikola Bartunkova (Local)

Previsão 67.49%1.48odd justa
EV -1.46%
Vantagem -1.00%
Kelly -3.18%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.04%67.34%67.44%68.60%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.351.411.401.4674.07%71.02%71.43%68.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Alina Charaeva (Visitante)

Previsão 32.51%3.08odd justa
EV -1.17%
Vantagem -0.385%
Kelly -0.573%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.04

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.40%32.66%32.56%35.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.902.953.0438.46%34.47%33.90%32.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Nikola Bartunkova (Local): 67.49%; Alina Charaeva (Visitante): 32.51%. Para Alina Charaeva (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.08. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.04, com valor esperado de -1.17%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -1.46%E -1.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -15.47%E -5.95%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 14:34
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -2.14%E -1.48%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-14 14:35
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -2.14%E -1.48%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -9.30%E -3.33%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 14:29
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -2.81%E -1.95%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -7.67%E -2.70%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 14:29
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.81%E -1.95%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.97%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 14:54
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.81%E -1.95%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.60%E -3.85%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 14:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.81%E -1.95%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.60%E -3.85%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 14:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.49%E -2.44%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -2.47%E -0.823%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-14 14:35
BetAnything🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.49%E -2.44%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 14:35
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.49%E -2.44%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 14:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.80%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -2.80%E -0.935%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.80%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -2.80%E -0.935%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 14:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 14:35
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 14:29
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.97%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.97%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 13:45
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.97%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 14:59
BetUS🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -4.84%E -3.43%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -1.17%E -0.385%K -0.573%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-14 14:55
ReBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.84%E -3.43%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 14:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.84%E -3.43%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 14:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -4.84%E -3.43%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -6.05%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 14:29
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -4.84%E -3.43%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -9.62%E -3.46%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 14:29
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.25%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.75%EV -2.14%E -0.713%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 07:50
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.47%E -0.823%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 14:50
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:59
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 13:42
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 13:59
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 14:59
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:55
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 07:50
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:54
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:55
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:54
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.37%E -2.21%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 11:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.70%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 13:45
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.70%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 13:44
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.60%E -3.85%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 14:29
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.60%E -3.85%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 14:30
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.60%E -3.85%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 14:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.86%E -4.97%K -18.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 14:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.21%E -6.04%K -22.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 07:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.89%E -6.58%K -25.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 14:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-08-14 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-08-14 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-08-14 15:00
ProphetX◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.7%2026-08-14 15:00
Matchbook◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.7%2026-08-14 15:00
Novig◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.29%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.71%2.4%2026-08-14 14:55