Idioma:Español
Nikola Bartunkova v Alina Charaeva
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nikola Bartunkova (Local)
Predicción 67.49%1.48momio equitativo
EV -1.46%
Ventaja -1.00%
Kelly -3.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.04%67.34%67.44%68.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.351.411.401.4674.07%71.02%71.43%68.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Alina Charaeva (Visitante)
Predicción 32.51%3.08momio equitativo
EV -1.17%
Ventaja -0.385%
Kelly -0.573%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.04
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.40%32.66%32.56%35.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.902.953.0438.46%34.47%33.90%32.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Nikola Bartunkova (Local): 67.49%; Alina Charaeva (Visitante): 32.51%. Para Alina Charaeva (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.08. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.04, con un valor esperado de -1.17%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -1.46%E -1.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -15.47%E -5.95%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 14:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -2.14%E -1.48%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-14 14:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -2.14%E -1.48%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -9.30%E -3.33%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 14:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -2.81%E -1.95%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -7.67%E -2.70%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 14:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.81%E -1.95%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.97%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 14:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.81%E -1.95%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.60%E -3.85%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 14:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.81%E -1.95%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.60%E -3.85%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 14:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.49%E -2.44%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -2.47%E -0.823%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-14 14:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.49%E -2.44%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 14:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.49%E -2.44%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 14:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.80%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -2.80%E -0.935%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-14 14:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.80%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -2.80%E -0.935%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-14 14:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 14:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 14:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.97%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.97%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 13:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.97%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -4.84%E -3.43%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -1.17%E -0.385%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-14 14:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.84%E -3.43%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 14:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.84%E -3.43%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 14:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -4.84%E -3.43%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -6.05%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 14:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -4.84%E -3.43%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -9.62%E -3.46%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 14:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.25%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.75%EV -2.14%E -0.713%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 07:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.47%E -0.823%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 11:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 11:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 13:42 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 13:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 07:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 14:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 14:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 14:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.37%E -2.21%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.70%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.70%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 13:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.60%E -3.85%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 14:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.60%E -3.85%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.51%E -3.94%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.60%E -3.85%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 14:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.86%E -4.97%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 14:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.21%E -6.04%K -22.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 07:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.89%E -6.58%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 14:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.7% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 1.7% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.29% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.71% | 2.4% | 2026-08-14 14:55 |