语言:简体中文
Marta Kostyuk v Sloane Stephens
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Marta Kostyuk (主队)
预测 85.21%1.17公平赔率
EV -2.01%
优势 -1.75%
Kelly -13.39%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.15
博彩公司预测分布
82.44%85.05%85.11%87.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.071.121.121.1593.46%89.67%89.29%86.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
Sloane Stephens (客队)
预测 14.79%6.76公平赔率
EV +19.80%
优势 +2.44%
Kelly +2.79%
增长率 +0.552%
假设最高赔率为 8.10
博彩公司预测分布
12.05%14.95%14.89%17.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.406.316.258.1018.52%15.84%16.00%12.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Marta Kostyuk (主队)：85.21%；Sloane Stephens (客队)：14.79%。 对于“Sloane Stephens (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.76。 当时有8家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为8.10，对应+19.80%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.95%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 12.05%EV +19.80%E +2.44%K +2.79%G +0.552% | 2.4% | 2026-08-18 18:53 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +7.22%E +0.996%K +1.16%G +0.084% | 3.1% | 2026-08-18 18:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +7.22%E +0.996%K +1.16%G +0.084% | 3.1% | 2026-08-18 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV +5.01%E +0.705%K +0.821%G +0.041% | 4.2% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.22%EV -3.71%E -3.29%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 7.07I 14.14%NM 13.78%EV +4.56%E +0.645%K +0.752%G +0.034% | 2.6% | 2026-08-18 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.53%E +0.504%K +0.588%G +0.021% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.02%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.89I 14.51%NM 13.98%EV +1.90%E +0.276%K +0.323%G +0.006% | 3.8% | 2026-08-18 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.02%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.89I 14.51%NM 13.98%EV +1.90%E +0.276%K +0.323%G +0.006% | 3.8% | 2026-08-18 18:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -0.171%E -0.025%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 07:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -0.171%E -0.025%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 18:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -0.910%E -0.136%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.82%E -8.25%K -126.07%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -0.910%E -0.136%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-18 06:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.70%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.30%EV -1.65%E -0.248%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 18:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.58%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.42%EV -2.54%E -0.385%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 18:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 18:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -5.35%E -0.835%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.46%EV -7.97%E -7.38%K -99.66%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.54%EV -6.09%E -0.958%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 12:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -3.71%E -3.29%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -8.30%E -1.34%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -8.30%E -1.34%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 06:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.26%E -1.88%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 09:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -11.26%E -1.88%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-18 19:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -11.26%E -1.88%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-18 19:03 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -11.26%E -1.88%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-18 10:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.18%EV -7.12%E -6.53%K -79.12%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -14.22%E -2.45%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-18 19:03 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -14.96%E -2.60%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -14.96%E -2.60%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 18:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.86%E -2.51%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -18.66%E -3.39%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.86%E -2.51%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -18.66%E -3.39%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.86%E -2.51%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -18.66%E -3.39%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 18:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.86%E -2.51%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -18.66%E -3.39%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 10:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.86%E -2.51%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -18.66%E -3.39%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.71%E -3.29%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -18.66%E -3.39%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.66%E -3.39%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.01%E -1.75%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -20.14%E -3.73%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 19:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -3.71%E -3.29%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -20.14%E -3.73%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 0.2% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 0.2% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 0.2% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71% | 1.9% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23% | 2.6% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |