Język:Polski
Marta Kostyuk v Sloane Stephens
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Marta Kostyuk (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 85.21%1.17kurs godziwy
EV -2.01%
Przewaga -1.75%
Kelly -13.39%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.15
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
82.44%85.05%85.11%87.95%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.071.121.121.1593.46%89.67%89.29%86.96%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Sloane Stephens (Goście)
Prognoza 14.79%6.76kurs godziwy
EV +19.80%
Przewaga +2.44%
Kelly +2.79%
Wzrost +0.552%
przy maksymalnym kursie 8.10
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
12.05%14.95%14.89%17.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
5.406.316.258.1018.52%15.84%16.00%12.35%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Marta Kostyuk (Gospodarze): 85.21%; Sloane Stephens (Goście): 14.79%. Dla wyniku Sloane Stephens (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 6.76. 8 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 8.10, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +19.80%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.95%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 12.05%EV +19.80%E +2.44%K +2.79%G +0.552% | 2.4% | 2026-08-18 18:53 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +7.22%E +0.996%K +1.16%G +0.084% | 3.1% | 2026-08-18 18:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +7.22%E +0.996%K +1.16%G +0.084% | 3.1% | 2026-08-18 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV +5.01%E +0.705%K +0.821%G +0.041% | 4.2% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.22%EV -3.71%E -3.29%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 7.07I 14.14%NM 13.78%EV +4.56%E +0.645%K +0.752%G +0.034% | 2.6% | 2026-08-18 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.53%E +0.504%K +0.588%G +0.021% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.02%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.89I 14.51%NM 13.98%EV +1.90%E +0.276%K +0.323%G +0.006% | 3.8% | 2026-08-18 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.02%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.89I 14.51%NM 13.98%EV +1.90%E +0.276%K +0.323%G +0.006% | 3.8% | 2026-08-18 18:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -0.171%E -0.025%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 07:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -0.171%E -0.025%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 18:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -0.910%E -0.136%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.82%E -8.25%K -126.07%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -0.910%E -0.136%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-18 06:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.70%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.30%EV -1.65%E -0.248%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 18:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.58%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.42%EV -2.54%E -0.385%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 18:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 18:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -5.35%E -0.835%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.46%EV -7.97%E -7.38%K -99.66%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.54%EV -6.09%E -0.958%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 12:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -3.71%E -3.29%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -8.30%E -1.34%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -8.30%E -1.34%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 06:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.26%E -1.88%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 09:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -11.26%E -1.88%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-18 19:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -11.26%E -1.88%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-18 19:03 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -11.26%E -1.88%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-18 10:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.18%EV -7.12%E -6.53%K -79.12%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -14.22%E -2.45%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-18 19:03 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -14.96%E -2.60%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -14.96%E -2.60%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 18:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.86%E -2.51%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -18.66%E -3.39%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.86%E -2.51%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -18.66%E -3.39%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.86%E -2.51%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -18.66%E -3.39%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 18:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.86%E -2.51%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -18.66%E -3.39%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 10:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.86%E -2.51%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -18.66%E -3.39%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.71%E -3.29%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -18.66%E -3.39%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.66%E -3.39%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.01%E -1.75%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -20.14%E -3.73%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 19:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -3.71%E -3.29%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -20.14%E -3.73%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 0.2% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 0.2% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 0.2% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71% | 1.9% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23% | 2.6% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |